Arbroath vs Raith Rovers prediction

Arbroath vs Raith Rovers prediction, who wins and at what price

Arbroath vs Raith Rovers prediction for the Scotland Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Raith Rovers a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 29% and Arbroath at 21%.

The goal expectancy is 2.31 in total, split 0.87 to Arbroath and 1.44 to Raith Rovers. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 40% and both teams to score 46%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is raith Rovers or draw at 79%. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at Betwinner, which implies 81%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Over the last 5 matches Arbroath stand at 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Raith Rovers show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Arbroath vs Raith Rovers

On the goal lines Arbroath vs Raith Rovers reads 67% for over 1.5, 40% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 60%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 22Bet pay 1.64.

BTTS yes stands at 46%. Arbroath score in 58% of simulations against a 42% clean sheet for Raith Rovers; Raith Rovers score in 76% while Arbroath shut them out 24% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 14.3%, followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-2 (10.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Raith Rovers, full-time Raith Rovers leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.