Scotland Championship
MortonHomeLLWWW
Sat 7 Nov
StenhousemuirAwayLDLLL362737
Morton winDrawStenhousemuir win
MortonHomeLLWWWStenhousemuirAwayLDLLL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.22 : 1.25
- Favourite
- 37% Stenhousemuir
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Morton vs Stenhousemuir betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.42 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 1.94 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.42 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 1.94 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.46 | 2.04 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.42 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 1.94 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.42 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 1.94 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Stenhousemuir to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Morton price at 2.60, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.25 and BC.Game have Stenhousemuir longest at 2.46.
The best-price payout across the three results is 91%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.04 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.71 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (BC.Game) and no 1.94 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Morton or Stenhousemuir (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Stenhousemuir, full-time Stenhousemuir
22% chance4.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Morton vs Stenhousemuir prediction
Morton vs Stenhousemuir prediction, who wins and at what price
Morton vs Stenhousemuir prediction for the Scotland Championship on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model calls it close, Morton 36%, draw 27%, Stenhousemuir 37%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.22 for Morton and 1.25 for Stenhousemuir, a total of 2.47, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Morton or Stenhousemuir (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. At 1.26 with BC.Game the market prices it at 79%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Morton vs Stenhousemuir.
Over the last 5 matches Morton stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Stenhousemuir show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Morton vs Stenhousemuir? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Morton vs Stenhousemuir reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.71 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 52%: Morton find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Stenhousemuir in 71%. Morton keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Stenhousemuir 30%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%, followed by 0-1 (10.6%) and 1-0 (10.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Stenhousemuir, full-time Stenhousemuir is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market for Morton vs Stenhousemuir
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Morton vs Stenhousemuir, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Morton to win36%2.60
Draw27%3.25
Stenhousemuir to win37%2.46
Morton, draw no bet49%fair 2.04
Stenhousemuir, draw no bet51%fair 1.96
Double chance
Morton or draw63%1.44
Stenhousemuir or draw64%1.40
Morton or Stenhousemuir (no draw)73%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.04
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals56%1.71
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.94
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Morton to score71%fair 1.42
Stenhousemuir to score71%fair 1.40
Morton clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Stenhousemuir clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Morton to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Stenhousemuir to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-110.6%
1-010.3%
0-08.5%
1-28.1%
2-17.9%
Half-time / full-time
Stenhousemuir / Stenhousemuir21.5%
Morton / Morton20.6%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Draw / Stenhousemuir13.6%
Draw / Morton13.2%
Questions about Morton vs Stenhousemuir
Who will win Morton vs Stenhousemuir?
The model gives Stenhousemuir the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Morton vs Stenhousemuir?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Morton vs Stenhousemuir?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Morton find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Stenhousemuir in 71%.
What time does Morton vs Stenhousemuir kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.