Scotland Championship
ArbroathHomeLLLLL
Sat 7 Nov
Ayr UtdAwayLWDLW313039
Arbroath winDrawAyr Utd win
ArbroathHomeLLLLLAyr UtdAwayLWDLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.40 1.12 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 39% Ayr Utd
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Arbroath vs Ayr Utd
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.04 | 2.36 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.80 | 1.89 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.74 | 3.04 | 2.36 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.80 | 1.89 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.88 | 3.05 | 2.36 | 2.08 | 1.69 | 1.78 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.74 | 3.04 | 2.36 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.80 | 1.89 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.74 | 3.04 | 2.36 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.80 | 1.89 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ayr Utd to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Arbroath vs Ayr Utd are 2.88 for Arbroath at BC.Game, 3.05 for the draw at BC.Game and 2.36 for Ayr Utd at BC.Game.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 91%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.08 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.69 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (22Bet) and no 1.89 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
70%
Our prediction
Arbroath or Ayr Utd (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ayr Utd, full-time Ayr Utd
23% chance4.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Arbroath vs Ayr Utd prediction
Arbroath vs Ayr Utd prediction and best bet
Arbroath vs Ayr Utd prediction for the Scotland Championship on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model calls it close, Arbroath 31%, draw 30%, Ayr Utd 39%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.12 for Arbroath and 1.28 for Ayr Utd, a total of 2.40, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Arbroath or Ayr Utd (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. At 1.30 with BC.Game the market prices it at 77%, against 70% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Arbroath average 0.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Ayr Utd 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Arbroath vs Ayr Utd
On the goal lines Arbroath vs Ayr Utd reads 69% for over 1.5, 43% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 57%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.69 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Arbroath score in 67% of simulations against a 33% clean sheet for Ayr Utd; Ayr Utd score in 72% while Arbroath shut them out 28% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13%, then 0-1 at 11.6% and 1-0 at 10.2%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ayr Utd, full-time Ayr Utd leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Arbroath vs Ayr Utd
The grid built from 1.12 and 1.28 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Arbroath to win31%2.88
Draw30%3.05
Ayr Utd to win39%2.36
Arbroath, draw no bet45%fair 2.24
Ayr Utd, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
Double chance
Arbroath or draw61%1.48
Ayr Utd or draw69%1.33
Arbroath or Ayr Utd (no draw)70%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.08
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Under 2.5 goals57%1.69
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.80
Not both teams to score50%1.89
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.40
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Arbroath to score67%fair 1.48
Ayr Utd to score72%fair 1.39
Arbroath clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Ayr Utd clean sheet33%fair 3.07
Arbroath to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Ayr Utd to win to nil30%fair 3.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113%
0-111.6%
1-010.2%
0-09.1%
1-28.3%
0-27.4%
Half-time / full-time
Ayr Utd / Ayr Utd23.4%
Arbroath / Arbroath18.4%
Draw / Draw17.7%
Draw / Ayr Utd14.7%
Draw / Arbroath12.2%
Questions about Arbroath vs Ayr Utd
Arbroath or Ayr Utd: which side does the model back?
The model gives Ayr Utd the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Arbroath vs Ayr Utd?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Arbroath find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Ayr Utd in 72%.
What time does Arbroath vs Ayr Utd kick off?
Arbroath vs Ayr Utd starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.