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Saudi Arabia Pro League Round 12 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
Al RiyadhHomeDLWL
0:6Half-time 0:2
Al-Qadisiyah FCAwayWWLDW
101674
Al Riyadh winDrawAl-Qadisiyah FC win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
3.59
0.93 : 2.66
Favourite
74%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Over 2.5 goals
68%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet8.605.921.271.382.861.652.08Bet
22Bet7.205.451.371.492.631.702.16Bet
BC.Game8.405.401.311.432.681.702.02Bet
Betwinner7.205.451.371.492.631.642.26Bet
Melbet7.205.451.371.492.631.702.16Bet
Stake7.805.801.321.392.851.682.07Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al-Qadisiyah FC to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Al Riyadh price at 8.60, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.92 and Melbet have Al-Qadisiyah FC longest at 1.37.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.49 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.86 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (BC.Game) and no 2.26 (Betwinner).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

74%

Our prediction

Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
BankerExpected goals 0.93 : 2.66+1% against the best price
Double chanceAl-Qadisiyah FC or draw
90% chance1.09
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.49
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Qadisiyah FC, full-time Al-Qadisiyah FC
52% chance1.94fair

Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction

Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction, who wins and at what price

Al-Qadisiyah FC are the clear favourite in the Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction, rated 74% to win this Saudi Arabia Pro League match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Al Riyadh sit at 10% and the draw at 16%.

The goal expectancy is 3.59 in total, split 0.93 to Al Riyadh and 2.66 to Al-Qadisiyah FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 68% and both teams to score 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Al-Qadisiyah FC to win is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.37 with Melbet the market prices it at 73%, against 74% from the model.

For a safer line, al-Qadisiyah FC or draw covers 90% of outcomes at 1.09.

With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Al Riyadh average 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 4, Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.4 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 52%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.49 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 57%: Al Riyadh find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Al-Qadisiyah FC in 93%. Al Riyadh keep a clean sheet 7% of the time and Al-Qadisiyah FC 40%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 9.8%, followed by 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-3 (8.7%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al-Qadisiyah FC, full-time Al-Qadisiyah FC is the top combination at 52%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.

Every market rated for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Al Riyadh to win10%8.60
Draw16%5.92
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win74%1.37
Al Riyadh, draw no bet12%fair 8.13
Al-Qadisiyah FC, draw no bet88%fair 1.14

Double chance

Al Riyadh or draw26%3.51
Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw90%1.09
Al Riyadh or Al-Qadisiyah FC (no draw)84%1.15

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.49
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.07
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 2.5 goals32%2.86
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.93

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.70
Not both teams to score43%2.26

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.08
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16

Team goals

Al Riyadh to score61%fair 1.65
Al-Qadisiyah FC to score93%fair 1.08
Al Riyadh clean sheet7%fair 14.29
Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Al Riyadh to win to nil6%fair 15.63
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win to nil36%fair 2.75

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

0-29.8%
1-29.1%
0-38.7%
1-38.1%
0-17.3%
1-16.8%

Half-time / full-time

Al-Qadisiyah FC / Al-Qadisiyah FC51.5%
Draw / Al-Qadisiyah FC18.9%
Draw / Draw8.2%
Al Riyadh / Al Riyadh5.8%
Draw / Al Riyadh4%

Questions about Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Al Riyadh or Al-Qadisiyah FC: which side does the model back?

The model gives Al-Qadisiyah FC the best chance at 74%, with the draw at 16%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC correct score: what does the model say?

0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Al Riyadh find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Al-Qadisiyah FC in 93%.

What time does Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC kick off?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Al Riyadh v Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC to win, 74%
1.37Bet