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Live 21 UTC
Saudi Arabia Pro League Round 11 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FCHomeWWLDW
2:3Half-time 1:1
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAwayWWWLW
332443
Al-Qadisiyah FC winDrawAl-Hilal Saudi FC win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.42
1.57 : 1.85
Favourite
44%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Over 2.5 goals
66%
model chance
Both teams to score
68%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.083.842.061.402.621.382.77Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Al-Qadisiyah FC price at 3.08, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.84 and 1xBet have Al-Hilal Saudi FC longest at 2.06.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.62 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.38 (1xBet) and no 2.77 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

77%

Our prediction

Al-Qadisiyah FC or Al-Hilal Saudi FC (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.57 : 1.85-5.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.38
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Hilal Saudi FC, full-time Al-Hilal Saudi FC
28% chance3.62fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.27fair

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction and best bet

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction for the Saudi Arabia Pro League on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 24% and Al-Qadisiyah FC at 33%.

Expected goals are 1.57 for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 1.85 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, a total of 3.42, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 68%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC is al-Qadisiyah FC or Al-Hilal Saudi FC (no draw), a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Over the last 5 matches Al-Qadisiyah FC stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Al-Hilal Saudi FC show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC reads 86% for over 1.5, 66% for over 2.5 and 45% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.40.

The chance of both teams scoring is 68%, built from Al-Qadisiyah FC scoring in 79% of runs and Al-Hilal Saudi FC in 84%; clean sheets come at 16% for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 21% for Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.5%, then 1-2 at 8.8% and 2-1 at 7.5%.

With the top scoreline at 9.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Hilal Saudi FC, full-time Al-Hilal Saudi FC leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 33% / 24% / 44% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Al-Qadisiyah FC to win33%3.08
Draw24%3.84
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win44%2.06
Al-Qadisiyah FC, draw no bet43%fair 2.35
Al-Hilal Saudi FC, draw no bet57%fair 1.74

Double chance

Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw56%1.71
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw68%1.34
Al-Qadisiyah FC or Al-Hilal Saudi FC (no draw)77%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.40
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.24
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 2.5 goals34%2.62
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81

BTTS

Both teams to score68%1.38
Not both teams to score32%2.77

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.20
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

Al-Qadisiyah FC to score79%fair 1.26
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to score84%fair 1.19
Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheet16%fair 6.37
Al-Hilal Saudi FC clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win to nil15%fair 6.90
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win to nil19%fair 5.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.5%
1-28.8%
2-17.5%
2-26.9%
0-16.1%
0-25.6%

Half-time / full-time

Al-Hilal Saudi FC / Al-Hilal Saudi FC27.6%
Al-Qadisiyah FC / Al-Qadisiyah FC19.6%
Draw / Al-Hilal Saudi FC13.8%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Al-Qadisiyah FC10.8%

Questions about Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Who is favourite in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

The model gives Al-Hilal Saudi FC the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Al-Qadisiyah FC find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Al-Hilal Saudi FC in 84%.

What time does Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC kick off?

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC starts at 18:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Qadisiyah FC or Al-Hilal Saudi FC (no draw), 77%
1.23Bet