Russia First League
VelesHomeLWDLD
1:1Half-time 0:1
Spartak KostromaAwayLWWLD323038
Veles winDrawSpartak Kostroma win
VelesHomeLWDLDSpartak KostromaAwayLWWLD- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.44 1.16 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 38% Spartak Kostroma
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.15 | 2.56 | 2.10 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.84 | 3.05 | 2.46 | 2.06 | 1.69 | 1.76 | 1.90 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.50 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Spartak Kostroma to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma are 2.94 for Veles at 1xBet, 3.15 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.56 for Spartak Kostroma at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.11 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (22Bet) and no 1.95 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
70%
Our prediction
Veles or Spartak Kostroma (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Spartak Kostroma, full-time Spartak Kostroma
23% chance4.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Veles vs Spartak Kostroma prediction
Our Veles vs Spartak Kostroma prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Veles vs Spartak Kostroma prediction for Friday, 30 October 2026: 32% home, 30% draw and 38% away in the Russia First League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Veles are expected to score 1.16 and Spartak Kostroma 1.28, so the total line is 2.44 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is veles or Spartak Kostroma (no draw) at 70%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.37. That price implies 73%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Veles have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 6 conceded, Spartak Kostroma 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.
A low-scoring Veles vs Spartak Kostroma? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 44%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Veles scoring in 69% of runs and Spartak Kostroma in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Veles and 31% for Spartak Kostroma.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma: 1-1 (12.9%), 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-0 (10.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Spartak Kostroma, full-time Spartak Kostroma leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Veles vs Spartak Kostroma
The grid built from 1.16 and 1.28 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Veles to win32%2.94
Draw30%3.15
Spartak Kostroma to win38%2.56
Veles, draw no bet46%fair 2.17
Spartak Kostroma, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Double chance
Veles or draw62%1.52
Spartak Kostroma or draw68%1.41
Veles or Spartak Kostroma (no draw)70%1.37
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.11
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.35
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.90
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.33
Under 2.5 goals56%1.75
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.80
Not both teams to score50%1.95
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.33
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Veles to score69%fair 1.46
Spartak Kostroma to score72%fair 1.39
Veles clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Spartak Kostroma clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Veles to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Spartak Kostroma to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-111.2%
1-010.1%
0-08.7%
1-28.3%
2-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
Spartak Kostroma / Spartak Kostroma22.9%
Veles / Veles19.1%
Draw / Draw17.3%
Draw / Spartak Kostroma14.3%
Draw / Veles12.5%
Questions about Veles vs Spartak Kostroma
Who is favourite in Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
The model gives Spartak Kostroma the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Veles vs Spartak Kostroma?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Veles find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Spartak Kostroma in 72%.
What time does Veles vs Spartak Kostroma kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.