Skip to the predictions
Live 19 UTC
Russia First League Round 16 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
Nizhny NovgorodHomeWWWWW
4:0Half-time 2:0
Arsenal TulaAwayWLWL
701812
Nizhny Novgorod winDrawArsenal Tula win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
3.13
2.28 : 0.85
Favourite
70%
Nizhny Novgorod
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.454.706.941.722.141.851.85Bet
22Bet1.394.767.231.632.201.861.88Bet
BC.Game1.384.607.001.622.181.821.83Bet
Betwinner1.394.767.231.632.201.861.88Bet
Melbet1.394.767.231.632.201.861.88Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Nizhny Novgorod to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula prediction: Nizhny Novgorod 1.45 (1xBet), draw 4.76 (Melbet), Arsenal Tula 7.23 (Melbet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.72 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.20 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (Melbet) and no 1.88 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

70%

Our prediction

Nizhny Novgorod to win
BankerExpected goals 2.28 : 0.85+1.2% against the best price
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw
88% chance1.11
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nizhny Novgorod, full-time Nizhny Novgorod
47% chance2.14fair

Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula prediction

Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula prediction and best bet

Nizhny Novgorod are the clear favourite in the Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula prediction, rated 70% to win this Russia First League match on Friday, 30 October 2026. Arsenal Tula sit at 12% and the draw at 18%.

The goal expectancy is 3.13 in total, split 2.28 to Nizhny Novgorod and 0.85 to Arsenal Tula. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Nizhny Novgorod to win is the main selection, rated 70%. At 1.45 with 1xBet the market prices it at 69%, against 70% from the model.

For a safer line, nizhny Novgorod or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.11.

With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Nizhny Novgorod have won 5 of their last 5 with 16 scored and 1 conceded, Arsenal Tula 2 of 4 scoring 7 and conceding 11.

How many goals in Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.72 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Nizhny Novgorod scoring in 90% of runs and Arsenal Tula in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for Nizhny Novgorod and 10% for Arsenal Tula.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula: 2-0 (11.4%), 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nizhny Novgorod, full-time Nizhny Novgorod leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 70% / 18% / 12% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Nizhny Novgorod to win70%1.45
Draw18%4.76
Arsenal Tula to win12%7.23
Nizhny Novgorod, draw no bet85%fair 1.18
Arsenal Tula, draw no bet15%fair 6.71

Double chance

Nizhny Novgorod or draw88%1.11
Arsenal Tula or draw30%2.87
Nizhny Novgorod or Arsenal Tula (no draw)82%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.72
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 2.5 goals40%2.20
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.86
Not both teams to score48%1.88

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.43
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

Nizhny Novgorod to score90%fair 1.11
Arsenal Tula to score57%fair 1.75
Nizhny Novgorod clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Arsenal Tula clean sheet10%fair 9.80
Nizhny Novgorod to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Arsenal Tula to win to nil9%fair 10.64

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011.4%
1-010%
2-19.7%
3-08.6%
1-18.5%
3-17.3%

Half-time / full-time

Nizhny Novgorod / Nizhny Novgorod46.7%
Draw / Nizhny Novgorod19.7%
Draw / Draw10.5%
Arsenal Tula / Arsenal Tula6.7%
Draw / Arsenal Tula4.8%

Questions about Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula

Who is favourite in Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?

The model gives Nizhny Novgorod the best chance at 70%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Nizhny Novgorod find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Arsenal Tula in 57%.

When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 17:15 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Nizhny Novgorod v Arsenal TulaNizhny Novgorod to win, 70%
1.45Bet