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Arsenal TulaAwayWLWL
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Arsenal TulaAwayWLWL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 4.70 | 6.94 | 1.72 | 2.14 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet | |
| 1.39 | 4.76 | 7.23 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.86 | 1.88 | Bet | |
| 1.38 | 4.60 | 7.00 | 1.62 | 2.18 | 1.82 | 1.83 | Bet | |
| 1.39 | 4.76 | 7.23 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.86 | 1.88 | Bet | |
| 1.39 | 4.76 | 7.23 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.86 | 1.88 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula prediction: Nizhny Novgorod 1.45 (1xBet), draw 4.76 (Melbet), Arsenal Tula 7.23 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.72 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.20 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (Melbet) and no 1.88 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Nizhny Novgorod are the clear favourite in the Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula prediction, rated 70% to win this Russia First League match on Friday, 30 October 2026. Arsenal Tula sit at 12% and the draw at 18%.
The goal expectancy is 3.13 in total, split 2.28 to Nizhny Novgorod and 0.85 to Arsenal Tula. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Nizhny Novgorod to win is the main selection, rated 70%. At 1.45 with 1xBet the market prices it at 69%, against 70% from the model.
For a safer line, nizhny Novgorod or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.11.
With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Nizhny Novgorod have won 5 of their last 5 with 16 scored and 1 conceded, Arsenal Tula 2 of 4 scoring 7 and conceding 11.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.72 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Nizhny Novgorod scoring in 90% of runs and Arsenal Tula in 57%; clean sheets come at 43% for Nizhny Novgorod and 10% for Arsenal Tula.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Nizhny Novgorod vs Arsenal Tula: 2-0 (11.4%), 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nizhny Novgorod, full-time Nizhny Novgorod leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 70% / 18% / 12% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Nizhny Novgorod the best chance at 70%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Nizhny Novgorod find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Arsenal Tula in 57%.
Kick-off is 17:15 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.