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Live 21 UTC
Russia First League Round 16 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
FC SochiHomeDWWWL
0:2Half-time 0:1
UralAwayWLLWW
373033
FC Sochi winDrawUral win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.49
1.28 : 1.21
Favourite
37%
FC Sochi
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

FC Sochi vs Ural odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.623.242.802.071.771.771.94Bet
22Bet2.583.182.732.081.751.821.92Bet
BC.Game2.543.102.682.041.711.781.88Bet
Betwinner2.613.102.752.081.751.801.95Bet
Melbet2.613.102.752.081.751.801.95Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FC Sochi to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for FC Sochi vs Ural are 2.62 for FC Sochi at 1xBet, 3.24 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.80 for Ural at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.08 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.77 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (22Bet) and no 1.95 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

70%

Our prediction

FC Sochi or Ural (no draw)
LeanWonExpected goals 1.28 : 1.21-5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.82Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Sochi, full-time FC Sochi
22% chance4.50fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.48fairWon

FC Sochi vs Ural odds movement

FC Sochi win2.62-0.03
Draw3.24-0.06
Ural win2.80-0.04
Over 2.5 goals2.08-0.01
Under 2.5 goals1.77unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

FC Sochi vs Ural prediction

Our FC Sochi vs Ural prediction and pick

FC Sochi vs Ural prediction for the Russia First League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model calls it close, FC Sochi 37%, draw 30%, Ural 34%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.28 for FC Sochi and 1.21 for Ural, a total of 2.49, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

FC Sochi or Ural (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on FC Sochi vs Ural.

Form check: FC Sochi have won 3 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 4 conceded, Ural 3 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 6.

How many goals in FC Sochi vs Ural? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.77 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 51%: FC Sochi find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Ural in 70%. FC Sochi keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Ural 28%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.8%, then 1-0 at 10.6% and 0-1 at 10%.

With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FC Sochi vs Ural; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Sochi, full-time FC Sochi is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

All markets, FC Sochi vs Ural

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Sochi vs Ural, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

FC Sochi to win37%2.62
Draw30%3.24
Ural to win34%2.80
FC Sochi, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Ural, draw no bet48%fair 2.10

Double chance

FC Sochi or draw66%1.45
Ural or draw63%1.50
FC Sochi or Ural (no draw)70%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.08
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.46
Under 2.5 goals55%1.77
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.82
Not both teams to score49%1.95

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.25
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34

Team goals

FC Sochi to score72%fair 1.39
Ural to score70%fair 1.42
FC Sochi clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Ural clean sheet28%fair 3.60
FC Sochi to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Ural to win to nil26%fair 3.91

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-010.6%
0-110%
0-08.3%
2-18.2%
1-27.8%

Half-time / full-time

FC Sochi / FC Sochi22.2%
Ural / Ural20%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Draw / FC Sochi13.9%
Draw / Ural12.9%

Questions about FC Sochi vs Ural

Who will win FC Sochi vs Ural?

The model gives FC Sochi the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for FC Sochi vs Ural?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 45% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in FC Sochi vs Ural?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. FC Sochi find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Ural in 70%.

What time does FC Sochi vs Ural kick off?

FC Sochi vs Ural starts at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, FC Sochi v UralFC Sochi or Ural (no draw), 70%
1.35Bet