Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction

Our Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction and pick

The Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction leans to Chelyabinsk: 40% against 30% for Shinnik Yaroslavl, with 30% left for the draw, in the Russia First League on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.39 in total, split 1.29 to Chelyabinsk and 1.10 to Shinnik Yaroslavl. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 49%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Chelyabinsk or draw is the main selection, rated 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl.

The draw is live at 30%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Chelyabinsk have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 8 conceded, Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 8.

A low-scoring Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.65 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Chelyabinsk scoring in 73% of runs and Shinnik Yaroslavl in 67%; clean sheets come at 33% for Chelyabinsk and 28% for Shinnik Yaroslavl.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, followed by 1-0 (11.8%) and 0-1 (10.1%).

With the top scoreline at 13%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Chelyabinsk, full-time Chelyabinsk is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.