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Live 19 UTC
Russia First League Round 15 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Volga UlyanovskHomeDDWWD
1:0Half-time 0:0
VelesAwayLWDLD
442927
Volga Ulyanovsk winDrawVeles win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.46
1.40 : 1.06
Favourite
44%
Volga Ulyanovsk
Over 2.5 goals
44%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.223.303.402.141.721.841.86Bet
22Bet2.253.103.302.141.711.821.92Bet
BC.Game2.223.003.302.101.671.801.86Bet
Betwinner2.253.103.302.141.711.821.92Bet
Melbet2.253.103.302.141.711.821.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Volga Ulyanovsk to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best Volga Ulyanovsk price at 2.25, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.30 and 1xBet have Veles longest at 3.40.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.14 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.72 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (1xBet) and no 1.92 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

73%

Our prediction

Volga Ulyanovsk or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.40 : 1.06-3.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Volga Ulyanovsk, full-time Volga Ulyanovsk
27% chance3.76fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair

Volga Ulyanovsk v Veles head to head

1Volga Ulyanovsk wins
0Draws
0Veles wins
  • 4 Oct 26Veles1:2Volga Ulyanovsk

1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Volga Ulyanovsk scored 2, Veles scored 1.

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles prediction

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles prediction and best bet

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles prediction for the Russia First League on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Volga Ulyanovsk marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 29% and Veles at 27%.

Volga Ulyanovsk are expected to score 1.40 and Veles 1.06, so the total line is 2.46 goals; over 2.5 lands at 44% and BTTS at 50%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles is volga Ulyanovsk or draw, a 73% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles.

Volga Ulyanovsk average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Veles 1.0 and 1.2 across 5.

A low-scoring Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.72.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Volga Ulyanovsk score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Veles; Veles score in 65% while Volga Ulyanovsk shut them out 35% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles: 1-1 (12.7%), 1-0 (12%) and 0-1 (9.1%).

With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Volga Ulyanovsk, full-time Volga Ulyanovsk leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Volga Ulyanovsk to win44%2.25
Draw29%3.30
Veles to win27%3.40
Volga Ulyanovsk, draw no bet62%fair 1.63
Veles, draw no bet39%fair 2.60

Double chance

Volga Ulyanovsk or draw73%1.33
Veles or draw57%1.67
Volga Ulyanovsk or Veles (no draw)71%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.14
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.62
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.38
Under 2.5 goals56%1.72
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.84
Not both teams to score50%1.92

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.29
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

Volga Ulyanovsk to score75%fair 1.33
Veles to score65%fair 1.53
Volga Ulyanovsk clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Veles clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Volga Ulyanovsk to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Veles to win to nil23%fair 4.41

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-012%
0-19.1%
2-18.9%
0-08.5%
2-08.4%

Half-time / full-time

Volga Ulyanovsk / Volga Ulyanovsk26.6%
Draw / Draw17%
Veles / Veles16%
Draw / Volga Ulyanovsk15.9%
Draw / Veles10.9%

Questions about Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles

Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles?

The model gives Volga Ulyanovsk the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Volga Ulyanovsk find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Veles in 65%.

When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Veles and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Volga Ulyanovsk v VelesVolga Ulyanovsk or draw, 73%
1.33Bet