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Live 16 UTC
Russia First League Round 17 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Spartak KostromaHomeLWWLD
Sun 8 Nov
Nizhny NovgorodAwayWWWWW
232552
Spartak Kostroma winDrawNizhny Novgorod win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.75
1.05 : 1.70
Favourite
52%
Nizhny Novgorod
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.183.671.871.881.941.771.96Bet
22Bet4.123.701.851.881.931.751.97Bet
BC.Game3.903.501.801.841.891.731.92Bet
Betwinner4.143.641.861.871.931.771.96Bet
Melbet4.123.701.851.881.931.751.97Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Nizhny Novgorod to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod are 4.18 for Spartak Kostroma at 1xBet, 3.70 for the draw at 22Bet and 1.87 for Nizhny Novgorod at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.94 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (Betwinner) and no 1.97 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

52%

Our prediction

Nizhny Novgorod to win
StrongExpected goals 1.05 : 1.70-2.8% against the best price
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw
77% chance1.24
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nizhny Novgorod, full-time Nizhny Novgorod
33% chance3.07fair

Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod prediction

Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod prediction, who wins and at what price

Nizhny Novgorod are a narrow favourite in the Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod prediction, rated 52% to win this Russia First League match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Spartak Kostroma sit at 23% and the draw at 25%.

The goal expectancy is 2.75 in total, split 1.05 to Spartak Kostroma and 1.70 to Nizhny Novgorod. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is nizhny Novgorod to win at 52%. At 1.87 with 1xBet the market prices it at 53%, against 52% from the model.

For a safer line, nizhny Novgorod or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.24.

Over the last 5 matches Spartak Kostroma stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Nizhny Novgorod show 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod reads 76% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.88 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Spartak Kostroma score in 65% of simulations against a 35% clean sheet for Nizhny Novgorod; Nizhny Novgorod score in 82% while Spartak Kostroma shut them out 18% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.4%, then 0-1 at 10.9% and 1-2 at 9.7%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nizhny Novgorod, full-time Nizhny Novgorod leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod

The grid built from 1.05 and 1.70 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Spartak Kostroma to win23%4.18
Draw25%3.70
Nizhny Novgorod to win52%1.87
Spartak Kostroma, draw no bet31%fair 3.28
Nizhny Novgorod, draw no bet70%fair 1.44

Double chance

Spartak Kostroma or draw48%1.95
Nizhny Novgorod or draw77%1.24
Spartak Kostroma or Nizhny Novgorod (no draw)75%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%1.88
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.37
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Under 2.5 goals48%1.94
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.42

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.77
Not both teams to score47%1.97

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.85
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Spartak Kostroma to score65%fair 1.54
Nizhny Novgorod to score82%fair 1.22
Spartak Kostroma clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Nizhny Novgorod clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Spartak Kostroma to win to nil17%fair 5.95
Nizhny Novgorod to win to nil32%fair 3.11

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
0-110.9%
1-29.7%
0-29.2%
1-06.7%
0-06.4%

Half-time / full-time

Nizhny Novgorod / Nizhny Novgorod32.6%
Draw / Nizhny Novgorod17.2%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Spartak Kostroma / Spartak Kostroma13.1%
Draw / Spartak Kostroma8.8%

Questions about Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod

Who is favourite in Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod?

The model gives Nizhny Novgorod the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Spartak Kostroma find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Nizhny Novgorod in 82%.

When do Spartak Kostroma play Nizhny Novgorod?

Spartak Kostroma vs Nizhny Novgorod starts at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Spartak Kostroma v Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod to win, 52%
1.87Bet