Russia First League
Arsenal TulaHomeWLWL
Sat 7 Nov
ChelyabinskAwayWLLLW442828
Arsenal Tula winDrawChelyabinsk win
Arsenal TulaHomeWLWLChelyabinskAwayWLLLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.69 1.51 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 44% Arsenal Tula
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.14 | 3.32 | 3.52 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.98 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.06 | 3.20 | 3.35 | 1.91 | 1.81 | 1.72 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.14 | 3.32 | 3.52 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.14 | 3.32 | 3.52 | 1.94 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Arsenal Tula to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk prediction: Arsenal Tula 2.14 (22Bet), draw 3.32 (22Bet), Chelyabinsk 3.52 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.95 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.86 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (Melbet) and no 1.98 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Arsenal Tula or Chelyabinsk (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.95
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Arsenal Tula, full-time Arsenal Tula
27% chance3.70fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.42fair
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk prediction
Our Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk prediction and pick
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk prediction for the Russia First League on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Arsenal Tula marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 28% and Chelyabinsk at 29%.
Arsenal Tula are expected to score 1.51 and Chelyabinsk 1.18, so the total line is 2.69 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is arsenal Tula or Chelyabinsk (no draw) at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 22Bet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk.
Arsenal Tula average 1.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded across their last 4, Chelyabinsk 1.6 and 1.6 across 5.
How many goals in Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 22Bet pay 1.95.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Arsenal Tula score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Chelyabinsk; Chelyabinsk score in 69% while Arsenal Tula shut them out 31% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
With the top scoreline at 12.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Arsenal Tula, full-time Arsenal Tula leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 44% / 28% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win44%2.14
Draw28%3.32
Chelyabinsk to win29%3.52
Arsenal Tula, draw no bet61%fair 1.65
Chelyabinsk, draw no bet39%fair 2.54
Double chance
Arsenal Tula or draw72%1.30
Chelyabinsk or draw56%1.71
Arsenal Tula or Chelyabinsk (no draw)72%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.95
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 2.5 goals50%1.86
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.83
Not both teams to score45%1.98
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.93
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Arsenal Tula to score78%fair 1.28
Chelyabinsk to score69%fair 1.44
Arsenal Tula clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Chelyabinsk clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Arsenal Tula to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Chelyabinsk to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-010.3%
2-19.1%
0-18%
2-07.7%
1-27.1%
Half-time / full-time
Arsenal Tula / Arsenal Tula27%
Chelyabinsk / Chelyabinsk16.9%
Draw / Arsenal Tula15.4%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Draw / Chelyabinsk10.9%
Questions about Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk
Who is favourite in Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
The model gives Arsenal Tula the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Arsenal Tula find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Chelyabinsk in 69%.
What time does Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk kick off?
Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.