Russia First League
Shinnik YaroslavlHomeWLDWL
Sat 7 Nov
FC UFAAwayDLWLD383131
Shinnik Yaroslavl winDrawFC UFA win
Shinnik YaroslavlHomeWLDWLFC UFAAwayDLWLD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.28 1.21 : 1.07
- Favourite
- 38% Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 44% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.54 | 3.04 | 3.04 | 2.22 | 1.66 | 2.04 | 1.71 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl 2.54 (22Bet), draw 3.04 (22Bet), FC UFA 3.04 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.66 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.04 (22Bet) and no 1.71 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
69%
Our prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.66
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Shinnik Yaroslavl, full-time Shinnik Yaroslavl
23% chance4.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA prediction
Our Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA prediction and pick
The Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Russia First League on Saturday, 7 November 2026 gives Shinnik Yaroslavl a 38% chance, FC UFA 31% and the draw 31%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 2.28 in total, split 1.21 to Shinnik Yaroslavl and 1.07 to FC UFA. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 41% and both teams to score 44%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA is shinnik Yaroslavl or draw, a 69% chance. At 1.38 with 22Bet the market prices it at 72%, against 69% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Shinnik Yaroslavl average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, FC UFA 0.4 and 0.4 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 67%, over 2.5 at 41%, over 3.5 at 20%; under 2.5 is 59% and under 3.5 is 80%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 22Bet pay 1.66.
The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Shinnik Yaroslavl scoring in 70% of runs and FC UFA in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Shinnik Yaroslavl and 30% for FC UFA.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 13.2%, then 1-0 at 12.4% and 0-1 at 10.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Shinnik Yaroslavl, full-time Shinnik Yaroslavl leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA
The grid built from 1.21 and 1.07 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win38%2.54
Draw31%3.04
FC UFA to win31%3.04
Shinnik Yaroslavl, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
FC UFA, draw no bet45%fair 2.23
Double chance
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw69%1.38
FC UFA or draw62%1.52
Shinnik Yaroslavl or FC UFA (no draw)69%1.38
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals41%2.22
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.08
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.35
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Under 2.5 goals59%1.66
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score44%2.04
Not both teams to score56%1.71
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.65
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40
Team goals
Shinnik Yaroslavl to score70%fair 1.42
FC UFA to score66%fair 1.52
Shinnik Yaroslavl clean sheet34%fair 2.92
FC UFA clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win to nil32%fair 3.16
FC UFA to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
1-012.4%
0-110.9%
0-010.2%
2-18%
2-07.5%
Half-time / full-time
Shinnik Yaroslavl / Shinnik Yaroslavl22.7%
Draw / Draw18.7%
FC UFA / FC UFA18.3%
Draw / Shinnik Yaroslavl14.7%
Draw / FC UFA12.5%
Questions about Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA
Who is favourite in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?
The model gives Shinnik Yaroslavl the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 41%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA?
The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Shinnik Yaroslavl find the net in 70% of simulated matches and FC UFA in 66%.
When do Shinnik Yaroslavl play FC UFA?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC UFA starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.