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Live 8 UTC
Russia First League Round 17 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Torpedo MoskvaHomeDWWDD
Sat 7 Nov
FK NeftekhimikAwayLLLDL
711910
Torpedo Moskva winDrawFK Neftekhimik win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.57
1.99 : 0.58
Favourite
71%
Torpedo Moskva
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
39%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.364.769.402.011.802.351.53Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Torpedo Moskva to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Torpedo Moskva price at 1.36, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.76 and 22Bet have FK Neftekhimik longest at 9.40.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.80 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.35 (22Bet) and no 1.53 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

71%

Our prediction

Torpedo Moskva to win
BankerExpected goals 1.99 : 0.58-3.8% against the best price
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw
90% chance1.05
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.80
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Torpedo Moskva, full-time Torpedo Moskva
47% chance2.14fair

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik prediction

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik prediction and best bet

Torpedo Moskva host FK Neftekhimik on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Russia First League, and the model has Torpedo Moskva at 71%, the draw at 19% and FK Neftekhimik at 10%: that is the Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.57 in total, split 1.99 to Torpedo Moskva and 0.58 to FK Neftekhimik. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 39%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Torpedo Moskva to win is the main selection, rated 71%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.36. That price implies 74%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Torpedo Moskva or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.05.

The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Torpedo Moskva stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; FK Neftekhimik show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 74%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 22Bet pay 1.80.

The chance of both teams scoring is 39%, built from Torpedo Moskva scoring in 86% of runs and FK Neftekhimik in 44%; clean sheets come at 56% for Torpedo Moskva and 14% for FK Neftekhimik.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 15.2%, then 2-0 at 15.2% and 3-0 at 10.1%.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Torpedo Moskva, full-time Torpedo Moskva is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

Every market rated for Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik

The grid built from 1.99 and 0.58 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Torpedo Moskva to win71%1.36
Draw19%4.76
FK Neftekhimik to win10%9.40
Torpedo Moskva, draw no bet88%fair 1.14
FK Neftekhimik, draw no bet12%fair 8.33

Double chance

Torpedo Moskva or draw90%1.05
FK Neftekhimik or draw29%3.16
Torpedo Moskva or FK Neftekhimik (no draw)81%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.01
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.80
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35

BTTS

Both teams to score39%2.35
Not both teams to score61%1.53

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Torpedo Moskva to score86%fair 1.16
FK Neftekhimik to score44%fair 2.27
Torpedo Moskva clean sheet56%fair 1.79
FK Neftekhimik clean sheet14%fair 7.30
Torpedo Moskva to win to nil52%fair 1.94
FK Neftekhimik to win to nil9%fair 11.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-015.2%
2-015.2%
3-010.1%
1-18.8%
2-18.8%
0-07.7%

Half-time / full-time

Torpedo Moskva / Torpedo Moskva46.7%
Draw / Torpedo Moskva21.8%
Draw / Draw13.2%
FK Neftekhimik / FK Neftekhimik5.1%
Draw / FK Neftekhimik4.2%

Questions about Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik

Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik?

The model gives Torpedo Moskva the best chance at 71%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Torpedo Moskva find the net in 86% of simulated matches and FK Neftekhimik in 44%.

When do Torpedo Moskva play FK Neftekhimik?

Torpedo Moskva vs FK Neftekhimik starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Torpedo Moskva v FK NeftekhimikTorpedo Moskva to win, 71%
1.36Bet