Russia First League
ChelyabinskHomeWLLLW
1:3Half-time 1:0
UralAwayWLLWW242650
Chelyabinsk winDrawUral win
ChelyabinskHomeWLLLWUralAwayWLLWW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.59 1.02 : 1.57
- Favourite
- 50% Ural
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Chelyabinsk vs Ural odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.12 | 3.67 | 1.88 | 1.96 | 1.86 | 1.79 | 1.92 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.61 | 3.43 | 1.78 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.90 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.10 | 3.35 | 1.84 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.81 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.52 | 3.39 | 1.81 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.90 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.61 | 3.43 | 1.78 | 1.98 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ural to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Chelyabinsk price at 4.61, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.67 and 1xBet have Ural longest at 1.88.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.98 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.86 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (Melbet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Ural or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.86
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ural, full-time Ural
31% chance3.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Chelyabinsk vs Ural prediction
Chelyabinsk vs Ural prediction and best bet
Chelyabinsk vs Ural prediction for the Russia First League on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Ural a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 26% and Chelyabinsk at 24%.
Expected goals are 1.02 for Chelyabinsk and 1.57 for Ural, a total of 2.59, which puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Chelyabinsk vs Ural is ural or draw, a 76% chance. At 1.24 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 76% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Chelyabinsk vs Ural.
Form check: Chelyabinsk have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 8 conceded, Ural 3 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 6.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Chelyabinsk vs Ural
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 74%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.86.
Both teams to score is 51%: Chelyabinsk find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Ural in 79%. Chelyabinsk keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Ural 36%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12%, then 0-1 at 11.8% and 1-2 at 9.4%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ural, full-time Ural leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Chelyabinsk vs Ural
The grid built from 1.02 and 1.57 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win24%4.61
Draw26%3.67
Ural to win50%1.88
Chelyabinsk, draw no bet33%fair 3.06
Ural, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Double chance
Chelyabinsk or draw50%1.97
Ural or draw76%1.24
Chelyabinsk or Ural (no draw)74%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals48%1.98
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals52%1.86
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.85
Not both teams to score49%1.92
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Chelyabinsk to score64%fair 1.56
Ural to score79%fair 1.26
Chelyabinsk clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Ural clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Chelyabinsk to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Ural to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112%
0-111.8%
1-29.4%
0-29.2%
1-07.7%
0-07.5%
Half-time / full-time
Ural / Ural30.6%
Draw / Ural17%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Chelyabinsk / Chelyabinsk13.7%
Draw / Chelyabinsk9.4%
Questions about Chelyabinsk vs Ural
Who is favourite in Chelyabinsk vs Ural?
The model gives Ural the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Chelyabinsk vs Ural?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Chelyabinsk vs Ural?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Chelyabinsk find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Ural in 79%.
What time does Chelyabinsk vs Ural kick off?
Chelyabinsk vs Ural starts at 10:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.