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Russia First League Round 15 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
FK NeftekhimikHomeLLLDL
1:1Half-time 0:0
LeningradetsAwayLWLDW
462925
FK Neftekhimik winDrawLeningradets win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.39
1.40 : 0.99
Favourite
46%
FK Neftekhimik
Over 2.5 goals
43%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.113.323.682.271.651.941.77Bet
22Bet2.083.153.702.181.641.951.80Bet
BC.Game2.043.203.552.201.621.911.76Bet
Betwinner2.083.153.702.181.641.951.80Bet
Melbet2.083.153.702.181.641.951.80Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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FK Neftekhimik to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets prediction: FK Neftekhimik 2.11 (1xBet), draw 3.32 (1xBet), Leningradets 3.70 (Betwinner).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.27 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.65 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.95 (Melbet) and no 1.80 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

74%

Our prediction

FK Neftekhimik or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.40 : 0.99-4.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.65
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FK Neftekhimik, full-time FK Neftekhimik
28% chance3.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair

FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets prediction

FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets prediction and best bet

FK Neftekhimik host Leningradets on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Russia First League, and the model has FK Neftekhimik at 46%, the draw at 29% and Leningradets at 26%: that is the FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.39 in total, split 1.40 to FK Neftekhimik and 0.99 to Leningradets. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 48%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

FK Neftekhimik or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: FK Neftekhimik have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 10 conceded, Leningradets 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.65.

Both teams to score is 48%: FK Neftekhimik find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Leningradets in 63%. FK Neftekhimik keep a clean sheet 37% of the time and Leningradets 25%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.8%, followed by 1-1 (12.7%) and 0-0 (9.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time FK Neftekhimik, full-time FK Neftekhimik is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.

Every market for FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 46% / 29% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

FK Neftekhimik to win46%2.11
Draw29%3.32
Leningradets to win26%3.70
FK Neftekhimik, draw no bet64%fair 1.56
Leningradets, draw no bet36%fair 2.77

Double chance

FK Neftekhimik or draw74%1.29
Leningradets or draw54%1.75
FK Neftekhimik or Leningradets (no draw)72%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.27
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 2.5 goals57%1.65
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.95
Not both teams to score53%1.80

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.42
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

FK Neftekhimik to score75%fair 1.33
Leningradets to score63%fair 1.59
FK Neftekhimik clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Leningradets clean sheet25%fair 4.05
FK Neftekhimik to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Leningradets to win to nil23%fair 4.41

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-012.8%
1-112.7%
0-09.2%
0-19.1%
2-09%
2-18.9%

Half-time / full-time

FK Neftekhimik / FK Neftekhimik27.7%
Draw / Draw17.5%
Draw / FK Neftekhimik16.5%
Leningradets / Leningradets14.8%
Draw / Leningradets10.4%

Questions about FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets

Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?

The model gives FK Neftekhimik the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. FK Neftekhimik find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Leningradets in 63%.

What time does FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets kick off?

FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets starts at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, FK Neftekhimik v LeningradetsFK Neftekhimik or draw, 74%
1.29Bet