Segunda Liga
Sporting CP BHomeWWW
Sun 8 Nov
TondelaAwayWWWLW472627
Sporting CP B winDrawTondela win
Sporting CP BHomeWWWTondelaAwayWWWLW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.52 1.46 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 47% Sporting CP B
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Sporting CP B vs Tondela
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
74%
Our prediction
Sporting CP B or Tondela (no draw)
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.86fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.99fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sporting CP B, full-time Sporting CP B
28% chance3.60fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Sporting CP B vs Tondela prediction
Our Sporting CP B vs Tondela prediction and pick
Sporting CP B vs Tondela prediction for the Segunda Liga on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Sporting CP B marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 26% and Tondela at 27%.
Expected goals are 1.46 for Sporting CP B and 1.06 for Tondela, a total of 2.52, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is sporting CP B or Tondela (no draw) at 74%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Form check: Sporting CP B have won 3 of their last 3 with 7 scored and 1 conceded, Tondela 4 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 5.
Sporting CP B vs Tondela goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%.
Both teams to score is 50%: Sporting CP B find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Tondela in 65%. Sporting CP B keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Tondela 23%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.5%, then 1-0 at 11.7% and 2-1 at 9.1%.
With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sporting CP B vs Tondela; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sporting CP B, full-time Sporting CP B leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Sporting CP B vs Tondela
The grid built from 1.46 and 1.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sporting CP B to win47%fair 2.15
Draw26%fair 3.82
Tondela to win27%fair 3.66
Sporting CP B, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Tondela, draw no bet37%fair 2.70
Double chance
Sporting CP B or draw73%fair 1.38
Tondela or draw54%fair 1.87
Sporting CP B or Tondela (no draw)74%fair 1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%fair 2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals54%fair 1.86
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score50%fair 1.99
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.01
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Sporting CP B to score77%fair 1.30
Tondela to score65%fair 1.53
Sporting CP B clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Tondela clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Sporting CP B to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Tondela to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-011.7%
2-19.1%
2-08.6%
0-18.5%
0-08%
Half-time / full-time
Sporting CP B / Sporting CP B27.8%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / Sporting CP B16.2%
Tondela / Tondela15.4%
Draw / Tondela10.5%
Questions about Sporting CP B vs Tondela
Sporting CP B or Tondela: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sporting CP B the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Sporting CP B vs Tondela?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Sporting CP B find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Tondela in 65%.
What time does Sporting CP B vs Tondela kick off?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.