Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction

Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction and best bet

The Torreense vs União de Leiria prediction leans to União de Leiria: 41% against 32% for Torreense, with 28% left for the draw, in the Segunda Liga on Monday, 9 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.09 for Torreense and 1.28 for União de Leiria, a total of 2.37, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Torreense vs União de Leiria is torreense or União de Leiria (no draw), a 72% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Torreense average 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, União de Leiria 1.4 and 1.0 across 5.

A low-scoring Torreense vs União de Leiria? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 79%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%.

BTTS yes stands at 48%. Torreense score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for União de Leiria; União de Leiria score in 72% while Torreense shut them out 28% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, followed by 0-1 (12%) and 1-0 (10.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time União de Leiria, full-time União de Leiria is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.