Segunda Liga
AcademicaHomeWWWWL
Sat 7 Nov
AmaranteAwayWLLLW482725
Academica winDrawAmarante win
AcademicaHomeWWWWLAmaranteAwayWLLLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.59 1.53 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 48% Academica
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Academica vs Amarante betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.99 | 3.38 | 3.56 | 1.97 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.55 | 1.95 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.89 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.99 | 3.38 | 3.56 | 1.97 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.99 | 3.38 | 3.56 | 1.97 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Academica to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Academica vs Amarante are 1.99 for Academica at 22Bet, 3.38 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.56 for Amarante at 22Bet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.78 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (22Bet) and no 1.93 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Academica or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Academica, full-time Academica
29% chance3.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Academica v Amarante head to head
1Academica wins
0Draws
0Amarante wins
- 17 Oct 26Academica3:2Amarante
1 meeting since coverage began, 5 goals in total: Academica scored 3, Amarante scored 2.
Academica vs Amarante prediction
Academica vs Amarante prediction and best bet
The Academica vs Amarante prediction leans to Academica: 48% against 26% for Amarante, with 27% left for the draw, in the Segunda Liga on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.59 in total, split 1.53 to Academica and 1.06 to Amarante. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Academica or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at Melbet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Academica vs Amarante.
Form check: Academica have won 4 of their last 5 with 14 scored and 5 conceded, Amarante 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 7.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Academica vs Amarante
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; BC.Game pay 1.78.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Academica scoring in 78% of runs and Amarante in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Academica and 22% for Amarante.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%, followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
With the top scoreline at 12.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Academica vs Amarante; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Academica, full-time Academica leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Academica vs Amarante
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 27% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Academica to win48%1.99
Draw27%3.38
Amarante to win26%3.56
Academica, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Amarante, draw no bet35%fair 2.87
Double chance
Academica or draw74%1.25
Amarante or draw52%1.73
Academica or Amarante (no draw)73%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals48%1.97
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.78
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Academica to score78%fair 1.28
Amarante to score65%fair 1.53
Academica clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Amarante clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Academica to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Amarante to win to nil20%fair 5.03
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.2%
1-011.5%
2-19.3%
2-08.8%
0-18%
0-07.5%
Half-time / full-time
Academica / Academica29.2%
Draw / Academica16.5%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Amarante / Amarante14.7%
Draw / Amarante10%
Questions about Academica vs Amarante
Who will win Academica vs Amarante?
The model gives Academica the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Academica vs Amarante?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Academica vs Amarante?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Academica find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Amarante in 65%.
What time does Academica vs Amarante kick off?
Academica vs Amarante starts at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.