Benfica vs Alverca prediction

Benfica vs Alverca prediction and best bet

Benfica vs Alverca prediction for the Liga Portugal on Monday, 2 November 2026: the model makes Benfica the clear favourite at 77%, with the draw at 14% and Alverca at 10%.

Benfica are expected to score 2.79 and Alverca 0.81, so the total line is 3.60 goals; over 2.5 lands at 70% and BTTS at 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Benfica vs Alverca is benfica to win, a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.16 at 1xBet, which implies 86%, so the model sits 9 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Benfica vs Alverca.

For a safer line, benfica or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.02.

The draw sits at only 14%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Benfica stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Alverca show 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 4.

Benfica vs Alverca over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 30% and under 3.5 52%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 70%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 70%; 1xBet pay 1.38.

Both teams to score is 49%: Benfica find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Alverca in 56%. Benfica keep a clean sheet 45% of the time and Alverca 6%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.6%, then 3-0 at 9.9% and 2-1 at 8.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Benfica, full-time Benfica leads at 56%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.