I Liga
Warta PoznańHomeWLWLD
Sat 7 Nov
Polonia WarszawaAwayWWWDW432631
Warta Poznań winDrawPolonia Warszawa win
Warta PoznańHomeWLWLDPolonia WarszawaAwayWWWDW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.72 1.48 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 43% Warta Poznań
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
75%
Our prediction
Warta Poznań or Polonia Warszawa (no draw)
1.34fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.95fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.81fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Warta Poznań, full-time Warta Poznań
26% chance3.91fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa prediction
Our Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa prediction and pick
The Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa prediction leans to Warta Poznań: 43% against 32% for Polonia Warszawa, with 26% left for the draw, in the I Liga on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
Warta Poznań are expected to score 1.48 and Polonia Warszawa 1.24, so the total line is 2.72 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa is warta Poznań or Polonia Warszawa (no draw), a 75% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Over the last 5 matches Warta Poznań stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Polonia Warszawa show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa
Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Warta Poznań score in 77% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Polonia Warszawa; Polonia Warszawa score in 71% while Warta Poznań shut them out 29% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.9%).
With the top scoreline at 12.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Warta Poznań, full-time Warta Poznań leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 26% / 32% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Warta Poznań to win43%fair 2.35
Draw26%fair 3.92
Polonia Warszawa to win32%fair 3.13
Warta Poznań, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Polonia Warszawa, draw no bet43%fair 2.34
Double chance
Warta Poznań or draw68%fair 1.47
Polonia Warszawa or draw57%fair 1.74
Warta Poznań or Polonia Warszawa (no draw)75%fair 1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 2.5 goals49%fair 2.05
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41
BTTS
Both teams to score55%fair 1.81
Not both teams to score45%fair 2.23
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.89
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Warta Poznań to score77%fair 1.30
Polonia Warszawa to score71%fair 1.41
Warta Poznań clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Polonia Warszawa clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Warta Poznań to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Polonia Warszawa to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-09.7%
2-18.9%
0-18.2%
1-27.5%
2-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Warta Poznań / Warta Poznań25.6%
Polonia Warszawa / Polonia Warszawa18.3%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Draw / Warta Poznań14.7%
Draw / Polonia Warszawa11.5%
Questions about Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa
Warta Poznań or Polonia Warszawa: which side does the model back?
The model gives Warta Poznań the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.
Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Warta Poznań find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Polonia Warszawa in 71%.
When is Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.