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Live 22 UTC
I Liga Round 14 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Polonia BytomHomeDWWWL
Sun 8 Nov
Lechia GdanskAwayWWLLW
422236
Polonia Bytom winDrawLechia Gdansk win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
3.49
1.82 : 1.67
Favourite
42%
Polonia Bytom
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
68%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Best odds for Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

78%

Our prediction

Polonia Bytom or Lechia Gdansk (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.82 : 1.67
1.29fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.48fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.47fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Polonia Bytom, full-time Polonia Bytom
26% chance3.89fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.26fair

Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk prediction

Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk prediction and best bet

Nothing separates the sides in the Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk prediction for Sunday, 8 November 2026: 42% home, 22% draw and 36% away in the I Liga. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Expected goals are 1.82 for Polonia Bytom and 1.67 for Lechia Gdansk, a total of 3.49, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Polonia Bytom or Lechia Gdansk (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Polonia Bytom have won 3 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 5 conceded, Lechia Gdansk 3 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 12.

Goals forecast for Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 67%, over 3.5 at 46%; under 2.5 is 33% and under 3.5 is 54%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%.

BTTS yes stands at 68%. Polonia Bytom score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Lechia Gdansk; Lechia Gdansk score in 81% while Polonia Bytom shut them out 19% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.3%, followed by 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Polonia Bytom, full-time Polonia Bytom leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 22% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Polonia Bytom to win42%fair 2.38
Draw22%fair 4.48
Lechia Gdansk to win36%fair 2.80
Polonia Bytom, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Lechia Gdansk, draw no bet46%fair 2.18

Double chance

Polonia Bytom or draw64%fair 1.56
Lechia Gdansk or draw58%fair 1.72
Polonia Bytom or Lechia Gdansk (no draw)78%fair 1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%fair 1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.17
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 2.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.86

BTTS

Both teams to score68%fair 1.47
Not both teams to score32%fair 3.11

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.15
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17

Team goals

Polonia Bytom to score84%fair 1.19
Lechia Gdansk to score81%fair 1.23
Polonia Bytom clean sheet19%fair 5.32
Lechia Gdansk clean sheet16%fair 6.17
Polonia Bytom to win to nil17%fair 5.78
Lechia Gdansk to win to nil15%fair 6.71

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.3%
2-18.4%
1-27.7%
2-27%
1-05.6%
3-15.1%

Half-time / full-time

Polonia Bytom / Polonia Bytom25.7%
Lechia Gdansk / Lechia Gdansk21.5%
Draw / Polonia Bytom13%
Draw / Lechia Gdansk11.4%
Draw / Draw11.3%

Questions about Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk

Who is favourite in Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?

The model gives Polonia Bytom the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?

The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Polonia Bytom find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Lechia Gdansk in 81%.

When do Polonia Bytom play Lechia Gdansk?

Kick-off is 11:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Polonia Bytom v Lechia GdanskPolonia Bytom or Lechia Gdansk (no draw), 78%
1.29fair