Polonia BytomHomeDWWWL
Lechia GdanskAwayWWLLW
Polonia BytomHomeDWWWL
Lechia GdanskAwayWWLLWNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
Our prediction
Nothing separates the sides in the Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk prediction for Sunday, 8 November 2026: 42% home, 22% draw and 36% away in the I Liga. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.82 for Polonia Bytom and 1.67 for Lechia Gdansk, a total of 3.49, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 68%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Polonia Bytom or Lechia Gdansk (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Form check: Polonia Bytom have won 3 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 5 conceded, Lechia Gdansk 3 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 12.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 67%, over 3.5 at 46%; under 2.5 is 33% and under 3.5 is 54%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%.
BTTS yes stands at 68%. Polonia Bytom score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Lechia Gdansk; Lechia Gdansk score in 81% while Polonia Bytom shut them out 19% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.3%, followed by 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Polonia Bytom, full-time Polonia Bytom leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 22% / 36% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Polonia Bytom the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Polonia Bytom find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Lechia Gdansk in 81%.
Kick-off is 11:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.