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Live 16 UTC
Peru Primera División Clausura - 15 Monday, 2 November 2026 Kick-off
Sporting CristalHomeWWWLW
Mon 2 Nov
FC CajamarcaAwayLDLLL
78139
Sporting Cristal winDrawFC Cajamarca win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
3.76
2.89 : 0.87
Favourite
78%
Sporting Cristal
Over 2.5 goals
71%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.236.0010.001.322.881.732.00Bet
BC.Game1.235.809.601.362.941.701.98Bet
Betwinner1.236.0010.001.322.881.732.00Bet
Melbet1.236.0010.001.322.881.732.00Bet
Stake1.256.209.20--1.692.05Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sporting Cristal to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction: Sporting Cristal 1.25 (Stake), draw 6.20 (Stake), FC Cajamarca 10.00 (Melbet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.36 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.94 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (Stake).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

78%

Our prediction

Sporting Cristal to win
BankerExpected goals 2.89 : 0.87-2.5% against the best price
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw
91% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.36
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sporting Cristal, full-time Sporting Cristal
56% chance1.79fair

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca odds movement

Sporting Cristal win1.25-0.03
Draw6.20-0.40
FC Cajamarca win10.00-1.00
Over 2.5 goals1.36unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.94-0.16

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:59 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction

Our Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction and pick

Sporting Cristal host FC Cajamarca on Monday, 2 November 2026 in the Peru Primera División, and the model has Sporting Cristal at 78%, the draw at 13% and FC Cajamarca at 9%: that is the Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca prediction in one line.

Sporting Cristal are expected to score 2.89 and FC Cajamarca 0.87, so the total line is 3.76 goals; over 2.5 lands at 71% and BTTS at 55%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is sporting Cristal to win at 78%. At 1.25 with Stake the market prices it at 80%, against 78% from the model.

For a safer line, sporting Cristal or draw covers 91% of outcomes at 1.04.

With the draw down at 13%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Sporting Cristal stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; FC Cajamarca show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 71%, over 3.5 at 52%; under 2.5 is 29% and under 3.5 is 48%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 71%, best priced 1.36 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Sporting Cristal scoring in 94% of runs and FC Cajamarca in 58%; clean sheets come at 42% for Sporting Cristal and 6% for FC Cajamarca.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca: 2-0 (9.7%), 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.5%).

With the top scoreline at 9.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sporting Cristal, full-time Sporting Cristal is the top combination at 56%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 82%.

Every market for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 78% / 13% / 9% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Sporting Cristal to win78%1.25
Draw13%6.20
FC Cajamarca to win9%10.00
Sporting Cristal, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
FC Cajamarca, draw no bet10%fair 10.00

Double chance

Sporting Cristal or draw91%1.04
FC Cajamarca or draw22%3.75
Sporting Cristal or FC Cajamarca (no draw)87%1.10

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.36
Over 3.5 goals52%fair 1.93
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 2.5 goals29%2.94
Under 3.5 goals48%fair 2.07

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.73
Not both teams to score46%2.05

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 1.98
Second-half goal87%fair 1.14

Team goals

Sporting Cristal to score94%fair 1.06
FC Cajamarca to score58%fair 1.72
Sporting Cristal clean sheet42%fair 2.39
FC Cajamarca clean sheet6%fair 17.86
Sporting Cristal to win to nil39%fair 2.60
FC Cajamarca to win to nil5%fair 19.61

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-09.7%
3-09.4%
2-18.5%
3-18.1%
4-06.8%
1-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

Sporting Cristal / Sporting Cristal56%
Draw / Sporting Cristal18.8%
Draw / Draw7%
FC Cajamarca / FC Cajamarca4.5%
FC Cajamarca / Sporting Cristal3.6%

Questions about Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

The model gives Sporting Cristal the best chance at 78%, with the draw at 13%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 71%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Sporting Cristal find the net in 94% of simulated matches and FC Cajamarca in 58%.

What time does Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca kick off?

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca starts at 20:30 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Sporting Cristal v FC CajamarcaSporting Cristal to win, 78%
1.25Bet