Alianza Lima vs Cienciano prediction

Alianza Lima vs Cienciano prediction, who wins and at what price

Alianza Lima host Cienciano on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 in the Peru Primera División, and the model has Alianza Lima at 69%, the draw at 20% and Cienciano at 12%: that is the Alianza Lima vs Cienciano prediction in one line.

Alianza Lima are expected to score 2.17 and Cienciano 0.79, so the total line is 2.96 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Alianza Lima to win is the main selection, rated 69%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.40. That price implies 71%, 2 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, alianza Lima or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.07.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Alianza Lima stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Cienciano show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Alianza Lima vs Cienciano? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Alianza Lima vs Cienciano reads 80% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.68 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Alianza Lima score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Cienciano; Cienciano score in 55% while Alianza Lima shut them out 45% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 12.2%, followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Alianza Lima, full-time Alianza Lima is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.