Peru Primera División
Atletico GrauHomeDLDLL
Fri 6 Nov
CuscoAwayLLWWL402634
Atletico Grau winDrawCusco win
Atletico GrauHomeDLDLLCuscoAwayLLWWL- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.80 1.47 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 40% Atletico Grau
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Atletico Grau vs Cusco odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.34 | 3.45 | 2.71 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.34 | 3.45 | 2.71 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.64 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 1.63 | 2.06 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.34 | 3.45 | 2.71 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.34 | 3.45 | 2.71 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.17 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.39 | 3.35 | 2.80 | 1.77 | 1.95 | 1.63 | 2.10 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atletico Grau to win partner prices
Stake pay the best Atletico Grau price at 2.39, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.45 and Stake have Cusco longest at 2.80.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.97 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (BC.Game) and no 2.17 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Atletico Grau or Cusco (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico Grau, full-time Atletico Grau
24% chance4.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair
Atletico Grau vs Cusco prediction
Atletico Grau vs Cusco prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Atletico Grau vs Cusco prediction for Friday, 6 November 2026: 40% home, 26% draw and 34% away in the Peru Primera División. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.47 for Atletico Grau and 1.33 for Cusco, a total of 2.80, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is atletico Grau or Cusco (no draw) at 74%. At 1.29 with Stake the market prices it at 78%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Atletico Grau stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Cusco show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Atletico Grau vs Cusco goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.81 at BC.Game.
Both teams to score is 57%: Atletico Grau find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Cusco in 74%. Atletico Grau keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Cusco 23%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atletico Grau vs Cusco: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Atletico Grau, full-time Atletico Grau is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market rated for Atletico Grau vs Cusco
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Atletico Grau vs Cusco, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Atletico Grau to win40%2.39
Draw26%3.45
Cusco to win34%2.80
Atletico Grau, draw no bet54%fair 1.84
Cusco, draw no bet46%fair 2.19
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw66%1.39
Cusco or draw60%1.53
Atletico Grau or Cusco (no draw)74%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.81
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.33
Under 2.5 goals47%1.97
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.63
Not both teams to score43%2.17
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.79
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Atletico Grau to score77%fair 1.30
Cusco to score74%fair 1.36
Atletico Grau clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Cusco clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Atletico Grau to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Cusco to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-08.9%
2-18.7%
0-18.1%
1-27.9%
2-06.6%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico Grau / Atletico Grau24.2%
Cusco / Cusco19.9%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Draw / Atletico Grau13.9%
Draw / Cusco12.1%
Questions about Atletico Grau vs Cusco
Atletico Grau or Cusco: which side does the model back?
The model gives Atletico Grau the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Atletico Grau vs Cusco correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Atletico Grau vs Cusco?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Atletico Grau find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Cusco in 74%.
What time does Atletico Grau vs Cusco kick off?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.