NM Cupen
Sarpsborg 08 FFHomeWLWWL
3:2Half-time 1:0
ValerengaAwayLWWLW502228
Sarpsborg 08 FF winDrawValerenga win
Sarpsborg 08 FFHomeWLWWLValerengaAwayLWWLW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.55 2.04 : 1.51
- Favourite
- 50% Sarpsborg 08 FF
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 70% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.80 | 2.94 | 1.35 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.94 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.94 | 4.07 | 3.26 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.99 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.25 | 1.37 | 2.88 | 1.35 | 2.78 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.94 | 4.07 | 3.26 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.99 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.94 | 4.07 | 3.26 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.99 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga prediction: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.10 (1xBet), draw 4.07 (22Bet), Valerenga 3.26 (22Bet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.37 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.00 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (Betwinner) and no 2.99 (Betwinner).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
50%
Our prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win
Double chanceSarpsborg 08 FF or Valerenga (no draw)
78% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.37
BTTSBoth teams to score
70% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sarpsborg 08 FF, full-time Sarpsborg 08 FF
32% chance3.16fair
Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga head to head
0Sarpsborg 08 FF wins
1Draw
0Valerenga wins
- 6 Sep 26Sarpsborg 08 FF2:2Valerenga
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Sarpsborg 08 FF scored 2, Valerenga scored 2.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga prediction
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga prediction and best bet
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga prediction for the NM Cupen on Wednesday, 28 October 2026: the model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 22% and Valerenga at 28%.
Expected goals are 2.04 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 1.51 for Valerenga, a total of 3.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 70%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win is the main selection, rated 50%. 1xBet offer the top price at 2.10. That price implies 48%, 2 points under the model figure.
That gap is worth 5% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Sarpsborg 08 FF or Valerenga (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.23.
Sarpsborg 08 FF average 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Valerenga 2.2 and 1.2 across 5.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga reads 87% for over 1.5, 68% for over 2.5 and 47% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 32%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; BC.Game pay 1.37.
Both teams to score is 70%: Sarpsborg 08 FF find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Valerenga in 78%. Sarpsborg 08 FF keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Valerenga 13%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9%, then 1-1 at 8.8% and 2-2 at 6.8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sarpsborg 08 FF, full-time Sarpsborg 08 FF is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga
The grid built from 2.04 and 1.51 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win50%2.10
Draw22%4.07
Valerenga to win28%3.26
Sarpsborg 08 FF, draw no bet64%fair 1.56
Valerenga, draw no bet36%fair 2.80
Double chance
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw72%1.35
Valerenga or draw50%1.81
Sarpsborg 08 FF or Valerenga (no draw)78%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.37
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.11
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 2.5 goals32%3.00
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.90
BTTS
Both teams to score70%1.36
Not both teams to score30%2.99
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17
Team goals
Sarpsborg 08 FF to score87%fair 1.15
Valerenga to score78%fair 1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Valerenga clean sheet13%fair 7.69
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Valerenga to win to nil12%fair 8.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19%
1-18.8%
2-26.8%
1-26.7%
3-16.1%
2-06%
Half-time / full-time
Sarpsborg 08 FF / Sarpsborg 08 FF31.6%
Valerenga / Valerenga16.8%
Draw / Sarpsborg 08 FF14.8%
Draw / Draw10.8%
Draw / Valerenga9.4%
Questions about Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
The model gives Sarpsborg 08 FF the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 68% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
The BTTS yes line is rated 70%. Sarpsborg 08 FF find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Valerenga in 78%.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga and where is the result shown?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga starts at 17:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.