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Live 18 UTC
Eliteserien Round 24 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FFHomeWLWWL
0:3Half-time 0:2
RosenborgAwayDWWLW
412435
Sarpsborg 08 FF winDrawRosenborg win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
3.39
1.77 : 1.62
Favourite
41%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.363.882.731.442.431.412.69Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sarpsborg 08 FF to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg prediction: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.36 (1xBet), draw 3.88 (1xBet), Rosenborg 2.73 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.44 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.43 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.41 (1xBet) and no 2.69 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

76%

Our prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.77 : 1.62-3.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.44
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.41
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sarpsborg 08 FF, full-time Sarpsborg 08 FF
26% chance3.91fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg prediction, who wins and at what price

The Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Eliteserien on Sunday, 18 October 2026 gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 41% chance, Rosenborg 35% and the draw 24%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Sarpsborg 08 FF are expected to score 1.77 and Rosenborg 1.62, so the total line is 3.39 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 67%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg.

Sarpsborg 08 FF average 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Rosenborg 2.2 and 0.6 across 5.

Goals forecast for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 44%; under 2.5 is 35% and under 3.5 is 56%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 1xBet pay 1.44.

Both teams to score is 67%: Sarpsborg 08 FF find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Rosenborg in 80%. Sarpsborg 08 FF keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Rosenborg 17%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%, followed by 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (7.8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sarpsborg 08 FF, full-time Sarpsborg 08 FF is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.

Every market for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 24% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Sarpsborg 08 FF to win41%2.36
Draw24%3.88
Rosenborg to win35%2.73
Sarpsborg 08 FF, draw no bet54%fair 1.84
Rosenborg, draw no bet46%fair 2.19

Double chance

Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw65%1.47
Rosenborg or draw59%1.60
Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg (no draw)76%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.44
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.28
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.94
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 2.5 goals35%2.43
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.41
Not both teams to score33%2.69

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.22
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

Sarpsborg 08 FF to score83%fair 1.20
Rosenborg to score80%fair 1.25
Sarpsborg 08 FF clean sheet20%fair 5.05
Rosenborg clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win to nil18%fair 5.49
Rosenborg to win to nil16%fair 6.37

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.7%
2-18.6%
1-27.8%
2-26.9%
1-06%
0-15.5%

Half-time / full-time

Sarpsborg 08 FF / Sarpsborg 08 FF25.6%
Rosenborg / Rosenborg21.3%
Draw / Sarpsborg 08 FF13.1%
Draw / Draw11.7%
Draw / Rosenborg11.5%

Questions about Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg

Sarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sarpsborg 08 FF the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Sarpsborg 08 FF find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Rosenborg in 80%.

When do Sarpsborg 08 FF play Rosenborg?

Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sarpsborg 08 FF v RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF or Rosenborg (no draw), 76%
1.27Bet