Eliteserien
MoldeHomeDWWWL
5:1Half-time 3:1
FredrikstadAwayDLLWL701713
Molde winDrawFredrikstad win
MoldeHomeDWWWLFredrikstadAwayDLLWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.63 2.57 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 70% Molde
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Molde vs Fredrikstad odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.43 | 5.13 | 6.57 | 1.41 | 2.80 | 1.56 | 2.28 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.38 | 5.00 | 7.60 | 1.39 | 2.98 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.37 | 5.20 | 7.00 | 1.37 | 2.90 | 1.55 | 2.30 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.37 | 5.03 | 8.04 | 1.39 | 2.98 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.38 | 5.00 | 7.60 | 1.39 | 2.98 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Molde to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction: Molde 1.43 (1xBet), draw 5.20 (BC.Game), Fredrikstad 8.04 (Betwinner).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.98 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (Melbet) and no 2.30 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
70%
Our prediction
Molde to win
Double chanceMolde or draw
87% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.41
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Molde, full-time Molde
48% chance2.10fair
Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction
Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction and best bet
Molde host Fredrikstad on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Eliteserien, and the model has Molde at 70%, the draw at 17% and Fredrikstad at 13%: that is the Molde vs Fredrikstad prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.57 for Molde and 1.06 for Fredrikstad, a total of 3.63, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 61%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is molde to win at 70%. At 1.43 with 1xBet the market prices it at 70%, against 70% from the model.
Molde or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.12.
The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Molde average 3.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Fredrikstad 1.8 and 2.8 across 5.
Molde vs Fredrikstad over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Molde vs Fredrikstad reads 88% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 49% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; 1xBet pay 1.41.
The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Molde scoring in 92% of runs and Fredrikstad in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Molde and 8% for Fredrikstad.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.3%, then 2-0 at 8.8% and 3-1 at 8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Molde, full-time Molde leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Molde vs Fredrikstad
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Molde vs Fredrikstad, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Molde to win70%1.43
Draw17%5.20
Fredrikstad to win13%8.04
Molde, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Fredrikstad, draw no bet16%fair 6.33
Double chance
Molde or draw87%1.12
Fredrikstad or draw30%3.09
Molde or Fredrikstad (no draw)83%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.41
Over 3.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 2.5 goals31%2.98
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.96
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.65
Not both teams to score39%2.30
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.06
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Molde to score92%fair 1.08
Fredrikstad to score65%fair 1.53
Molde clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Fredrikstad clean sheet8%fair 12.99
Molde to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Fredrikstad to win to nil7%fair 14.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.3%
2-08.8%
3-18%
3-07.5%
1-17.2%
1-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Molde / Molde47.7%
Draw / Molde18.3%
Draw / Draw8.7%
Fredrikstad / Fredrikstad7.5%
Draw / Fredrikstad4.9%
Questions about Molde vs Fredrikstad
Molde or Fredrikstad: which side does the model back?
The model gives Molde the best chance at 70%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Molde vs Fredrikstad?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Molde vs Fredrikstad?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Molde find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Fredrikstad in 65%.
When is Molde vs Fredrikstad and where is the result shown?
Molde vs Fredrikstad starts at 18:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.