National League - National predictions for every fixture

National League - National predictions for the coming round

National League - National predictions cover 5 of the next 5 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 50% chance, the draw 21%, over 2.5 goals 70% and BTTS 67%.

Expected goals average 3.62 a match, so the goal lines open above 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 3 of the 5 rated fixtures. 1 pick reaches banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest National League - National pick of the round is auckland FC 2 or Napier City Rovers (no draw) in Auckland FC 2 v Napier City Rovers on Sun 8 Nov, rated 79%.

No National League - National pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full National League - National odds table.

National League - National results and trends, last 60 days

The last 30 National League - National matches of the past 60 days produced 12 home wins, 6 draws and 12 away wins. That is a home win rate of 40% and a draw rate of 20%.

Goals averaged 3.60 a match, 1.97 for the home side and 1.63 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 63% of matches and over 1.5 in 93%. Both teams scored in 57%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 43%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Cashmere Technical 10-0 Wellington Phoenix II on Sun 4 Oct.

The model rates over 2.5 at 70% for the coming round against a 63% strike rate in these results, so it expects a livelier round than the recent average.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the National League - National tips have gone

The National League - National record starts with the first settled matchday.

0 tips for this competition are already frozen: the 1X2 or double chance line, over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, both teams to score, the correct score, the half-time/full-time call and the first-half goal line for every rated match inside 40 hours of kick-off.

Once a round has been played, the hit rate, the flat-stake return and the best-performing market for the competition appear in this block. The same figures are broken down by market on the results pages, where every graded tip is listed with its chance and price.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn after the freeze, so the National League - National record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

National League - National odds comparison

No National League - National fixture in the coming round is priced yet. Prices usually arrive two to three days before kick-off for a top division and the evening before for cups and lower divisions.

Until then the match pages show the fair price from the model, labelled as such. The edge column stays blank because there is no bookmaker line to measure it against.

Once prices land, each National League - National match page lists every bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and both teams to score lines with the best in each column marked.

Taking the best price on each outcome typically pays two to four points more than a single bookmaker's full line, and partner bookmakers carry a Bet button.