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Live 11 UTC
National League - National Championship Group - 7 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Auckland CityHomeWDWWD
Sat 7 Nov
Birkenhead UnitedAwayLWWWW
452233
Auckland City winDrawBirkenhead United win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.43
1.85 : 1.58
Favourite
45%
Auckland City
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Auckland City vs Birkenhead United betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Auckland City vs Birkenhead United yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

78%

Our prediction

Auckland City or Birkenhead United (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.85 : 1.58
1.29fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.50fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Auckland City, full-time Auckland City
27% chance3.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.27fair

Auckland City vs Birkenhead United prediction

Our Auckland City vs Birkenhead United prediction and pick

Auckland City host Birkenhead United on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the National League - National, and the model has Auckland City at 45%, the draw at 22% and Birkenhead United at 33%: that is the Auckland City vs Birkenhead United prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.43 in total, split 1.85 to Auckland City and 1.58 to Birkenhead United. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 67%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Auckland City or Birkenhead United (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Auckland City have won 3 of their last 5 with 12 scored and 5 conceded, Birkenhead United 4 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 5.

Auckland City vs Birkenhead United over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Auckland City vs Birkenhead United reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 45% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%.

BTTS yes stands at 67%. Auckland City score in 84% of simulations against a 16% clean sheet for Birkenhead United; Birkenhead United score in 79% while Auckland City shut them out 21% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.5%, followed by 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.5%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Auckland City, full-time Auckland City leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Auckland City vs Birkenhead United

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 45% / 22% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Auckland City to win45%fair 2.25
Draw22%fair 4.46
Birkenhead United to win33%fair 3.01
Auckland City, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Birkenhead United, draw no bet43%fair 2.34

Double chance

Auckland City or draw67%fair 1.49
Birkenhead United or draw56%fair 1.80
Auckland City or Birkenhead United (no draw)78%fair 1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.83
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 6.94
Under 2.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81

BTTS

Both teams to score67%fair 1.50
Not both teams to score33%fair 3.01

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.19
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18

Team goals

Auckland City to score84%fair 1.19
Birkenhead United to score79%fair 1.26
Auckland City clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Birkenhead United clean sheet16%fair 6.37
Auckland City to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Birkenhead United to win to nil15%fair 6.90

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.5%
2-18.8%
1-27.5%
2-26.9%
1-06%
2-05.5%

Half-time / full-time

Auckland City / Auckland City27.4%
Birkenhead United / Birkenhead United19.8%
Draw / Auckland City13.7%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Birkenhead United10.8%

Questions about Auckland City vs Birkenhead United

Who is favourite in Auckland City vs Birkenhead United?

The model gives Auckland City the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 22%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Auckland City vs Birkenhead United?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Auckland City vs Birkenhead United?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Auckland City find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Birkenhead United in 79%.

What time does Auckland City vs Birkenhead United kick off?

Auckland City vs Birkenhead United starts at 01:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Auckland City v Birkenhead UnitedAuckland City or Birkenhead United (no draw), 78%
1.29fair