Ferrymead Bays vs Wellington Phoenix II prediction

Our Ferrymead Bays vs Wellington Phoenix II prediction and pick

Ferrymead Bays vs Wellington Phoenix II prediction for the National League - National on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Ferrymead Bays marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 23% and Wellington Phoenix II at 33%.

The goal expectancy is 3.27 in total, split 1.76 to Ferrymead Bays and 1.51 to Wellington Phoenix II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 64%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Ferrymead Bays or Wellington Phoenix II (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Ferrymead Bays average 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Wellington Phoenix II 1.0 and 3.4 across 5.

Ferrymead Bays vs Wellington Phoenix II over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%.

BTTS yes stands at 64%. Ferrymead Bays score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Wellington Phoenix II; Wellington Phoenix II score in 78% while Ferrymead Bays shut them out 22% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.1%, then 2-1 at 8.9% and 1-2 at 7.6%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ferrymead Bays, full-time Ferrymead Bays leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.