Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II prediction

Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II prediction, who wins and at what price

Napier City Rovers are a strong favourite in the Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II prediction, rated 80% to win this National League - National match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Wellington Phoenix II sit at 8% and the draw at 11%.

Expected goals are 3.32 for Napier City Rovers and 0.97 for Wellington Phoenix II, a total of 4.29, which puts over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II is napier City Rovers to win, a 80% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.14. That price implies 88%, 7 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, napier City Rovers or draw covers 92% of outcomes at -.

The draw sits at only 11%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Napier City Rovers average 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Wellington Phoenix II 1.0 and 3.4 across 5.

Goals forecast for Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Phoenix II reads 93% for over 1.5, 78% for over 2.5 and 62% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 22%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 78%; 1xBet pay 1.22.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Napier City Rovers scoring in 96% of runs and Wellington Phoenix II in 62%; clean sheets come at 38% for Napier City Rovers and 4% for Wellington Phoenix II.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

The most likely scoreline is 3-0 at 8.4%, followed by 3-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Napier City Rovers, full-time Napier City Rovers is the top combination at 60%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 86%.