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National League - National Championship Group - 7 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Wellington OlympicHomeWLDWW
Sat 7 Nov
Auckland UnitedAwayWDWLL
482230
Wellington Olympic winDrawAuckland United win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.56
1.99 : 1.57
Favourite
48%
Wellington Olympic
Over 2.5 goals
69%
model chance
Both teams to score
68%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

78%

Our prediction

Wellington Olympic or Auckland United (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.99 : 1.57
1.28fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.46fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance11.24fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Wellington Olympic, full-time Wellington Olympic
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
80% chance1.25fair

Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United prediction

Our Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United prediction and pick

Wellington Olympic are marginally ahead in the Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United prediction, rated 48% to win this National League - National match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Auckland United sit at 31% and the draw at 22%.

Expected goals are 1.99 for Wellington Olympic and 1.57 for Auckland United, a total of 3.56, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 68%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Wellington Olympic or Auckland United (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Wellington Olympic average 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Auckland United 2.4 and 1.6 across 5.

Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 87%, over 2.5 at 69%, over 3.5 at 48%; under 2.5 is 31% and under 3.5 is 52%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 68%, built from Wellington Olympic scoring in 86% of runs and Auckland United in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for Wellington Olympic and 14% for Auckland United.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United: 1-1 (8.9%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Wellington Olympic, full-time Wellington Olympic is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.

Every market for Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 22% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Wellington Olympic to win48%fair 2.11
Draw22%fair 4.61
Auckland United to win31%fair 3.24
Wellington Olympic, draw no bet61%fair 1.65
Auckland United, draw no bet39%fair 2.54

Double chance

Wellington Olympic or draw69%fair 1.45
Auckland United or draw53%fair 1.90
Wellington Olympic or Auckland United (no draw)78%fair 1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.10
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 2.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.91

BTTS

Both teams to score68%fair 1.46
Not both teams to score32%fair 3.15

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.10
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16

Team goals

Wellington Olympic to score86%fair 1.16
Auckland United to score79%fair 1.26
Wellington Olympic clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Auckland United clean sheet14%fair 7.30
Wellington Olympic to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Auckland United to win to nil13%fair 7.94

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-18.9%
2-18.8%
1-27%
2-26.9%
3-15.9%
1-05.7%

Half-time / full-time

Wellington Olympic / Wellington Olympic29.9%
Auckland United / Auckland United18.2%
Draw / Wellington Olympic14.2%
Draw / Draw10.9%
Draw / Auckland United10%

Questions about Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United

Wellington Olympic or Auckland United: which side does the model back?

The model gives Wellington Olympic the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 22%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United?

The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Wellington Olympic find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Auckland United in 79%.

When is Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United and where is the result shown?

Wellington Olympic vs Auckland United starts at 01:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Wellington Olympic v Auckland UnitedWellington Olympic or Auckland United (no draw), 78%
1.28fair