National League - National
Wellington Phoenix IIHomeDLLLW
3:2Half-time 2:1
Auckland FC 2AwayLDLLL252154
Wellington Phoenix II winDrawAuckland FC 2 win
Wellington Phoenix IIHomeDLLLWAuckland FC 2AwayLDLLL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.90 1.58 : 2.32
- Favourite
- 54% Auckland FC 2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 72% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 3.36 | 4.55 | 1.81 | 1.31 | 3.25 | 1.45 | 2.64 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Auckland FC 2 to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Wellington Phoenix II price at 3.36, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.55 and 22Bet have Auckland FC 2 longest at 1.81.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.31 (22Bet) and under 2.5 3.25 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.45 (22Bet) and no 2.64 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
54%
Our prediction
Auckland FC 2 to win
Double chanceWellington Phoenix II or Auckland FC 2 (no draw)
79% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.31
BTTSBoth teams to score
72% chance1.45
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance11.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Auckland FC 2, full-time Auckland FC 2
35% chance2.84fair
Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2 prediction
Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2 prediction, who wins and at what price
Auckland FC 2 are a narrow favourite in the Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2 prediction, rated 54% to win this National League - National match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Wellington Phoenix II sit at 25% and the draw at 21%.
Expected goals are 1.58 for Wellington Phoenix II and 2.32 for Auckland FC 2, a total of 3.90, which puts over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams to score at 72%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is auckland FC 2 to win at 54%. The best price in our comparison is 1.81 at 22Bet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Wellington Phoenix II or Auckland FC 2 (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.18.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Wellington Phoenix II stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Auckland FC 2 show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2 over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2 reads 90% for over 1.5, 74% for over 2.5 and 55% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 26%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 74%; 22Bet pay 1.31.
Both teams to score is 72%: Wellington Phoenix II find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Auckland FC 2 in 90%. Wellington Phoenix II keep a clean sheet 10% of the time and Auckland FC 2 21%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2: 1-2 (8.6%), 1-1 (7.4%) and 2-2 (6.8%).
With the top scoreline at 8.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Auckland FC 2, full-time Auckland FC 2 leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 83%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2
The grid built from 1.58 and 2.32 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Wellington Phoenix II to win25%3.36
Draw21%4.55
Auckland FC 2 to win54%1.81
Wellington Phoenix II, draw no bet32%fair 3.12
Auckland FC 2, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Double chance
Wellington Phoenix II or draw46%1.93
Auckland FC 2 or draw75%1.29
Wellington Phoenix II or Auckland FC 2 (no draw)79%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.31
Over 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Over 4.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.10
Under 2.5 goals26%3.25
Under 3.5 goals45%fair 2.21
BTTS
Both teams to score72%1.45
Not both teams to score28%2.64
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 first-half goals52%fair 1.91
Second-half goal88%fair 1.13
Team goals
Wellington Phoenix II to score79%fair 1.26
Auckland FC 2 to score90%fair 1.11
Wellington Phoenix II clean sheet10%fair 10.20
Auckland FC 2 clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Wellington Phoenix II to win to nil9%fair 11.11
Auckland FC 2 to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-28.6%
1-17.4%
2-26.8%
1-36.7%
2-15.9%
0-25.4%
Half-time / full-time
Auckland FC 2 / Auckland FC 235.2%
Wellington Phoenix II / Wellington Phoenix II15.2%
Draw / Auckland FC 215%
Draw / Draw9.4%
Draw / Wellington Phoenix II8.3%
Questions about Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2
Wellington Phoenix II or Auckland FC 2: which side does the model back?
The model gives Auckland FC 2 the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 74%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2?
The BTTS yes line is rated 72%. Wellington Phoenix II find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Auckland FC 2 in 90%.
When is Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2 and where is the result shown?
Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland FC 2 starts at 00:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.