KNVB Beker
VVV VenloHomeWDWLW
0:2Half-time 0:2
VitesseAwayDLWLW462331
VVV Venlo winDrawVitesse win
VVV VenloHomeWDWLWVitesseAwayDLWLW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.41 1.87 : 1.54
- Favourite
- 46% VVV Venlo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
VVV Venlo vs Vitesse odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.82 | 2.99 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.41 | 2.69 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.19 | 3.79 | 2.86 | 1.42 | 2.75 | 1.41 | 2.77 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.14 | 3.75 | 2.86 | 1.47 | 2.52 | 1.42 | 2.60 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.19 | 3.79 | 2.86 | 1.42 | 2.75 | 1.41 | 2.77 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.19 | 3.79 | 2.86 | 1.42 | 2.75 | 1.41 | 2.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
VVV Venlo to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for VVV Venlo vs Vitesse are 2.19 for VVV Venlo at Melbet, 3.82 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.99 for Vitesse at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.47 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.75 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.42 (BC.Game) and no 2.77 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
VVV Venlo or Vitesse (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.47
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time VVV Venlo, full-time VVV Venlo
28% chance3.53fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair
VVV Venlo vs Vitesse prediction
Our VVV Venlo vs Vitesse prediction and pick
The VVV Venlo vs Vitesse prediction leans to VVV Venlo: 46% against 32% for Vitesse, with 23% left for the draw, in the KNVB Beker on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.41 in total, split 1.87 to VVV Venlo and 1.54 to Vitesse. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 66% and both teams to score 68%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
VVV Venlo or Vitesse (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.24 with Betwinner the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on VVV Venlo vs Vitesse.
Form check: VVV Venlo have won 3 of their last 5 with 13 scored and 9 conceded, Vitesse 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 6.
VVV Venlo vs Vitesse over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 34% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 66%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; BC.Game pay 1.47.
BTTS yes stands at 68%. VVV Venlo score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Vitesse; Vitesse score in 79% while VVV Venlo shut them out 21% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for VVV Venlo vs Vitesse: 1-1 (9.5%), 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.3%).
With the top scoreline at 9.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for VVV Venlo vs Vitesse; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time VVV Venlo, full-time VVV Venlo is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.
Every market for VVV Venlo vs Vitesse
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for VVV Venlo vs Vitesse, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
VVV Venlo to win46%2.19
Draw23%3.82
Vitesse to win32%2.99
VVV Venlo, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Vitesse, draw no bet41%fair 2.44
Double chance
VVV Venlo or draw68%1.39
Vitesse or draw55%1.68
VVV Venlo or Vitesse (no draw)77%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.47
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.25
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 2.5 goals34%2.75
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.80
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.42
Not both teams to score32%2.77
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.20
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
VVV Venlo to score85%fair 1.18
Vitesse to score79%fair 1.27
VVV Venlo clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Vitesse clean sheet15%fair 6.49
VVV Venlo to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Vitesse to win to nil14%fair 7.04
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.5%
2-18.9%
1-27.3%
2-26.9%
1-06.2%
2-05.8%
Half-time / full-time
VVV Venlo / VVV Venlo28.3%
Vitesse / Vitesse18.9%
Draw / VVV Venlo14%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Vitesse10.5%
Questions about VVV Venlo vs Vitesse
VVV Venlo or Vitesse: which side does the model back?
The model gives VVV Venlo the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
VVV Venlo vs Vitesse correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in VVV Venlo vs Vitesse?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. VVV Venlo find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Vitesse in 79%.
When is VVV Venlo vs Vitesse and where is the result shown?
VVV Venlo vs Vitesse starts at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.