KNVB Beker
JOS WatergraafsmeerHomeDL
1:3Half-time 1:2
NAC BredaAwayDWWDW2692
JOS Watergraafsmeer winDrawNAC Breda win
JOS WatergraafsmeerHomeDLNAC BredaAwayDWWDW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.53 0.59 : 3.94
- Favourite
- 92% NAC Breda
- Over 2.5 goals
- 79% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 24.00 | 10.50 | 1.05 | 1.22 | 3.48 | 2.22 | 1.59 | Bet |
 22Bet | 21.00 | 10.90 | 1.08 | 1.22 | 4.00 | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 30.00 | 8.60 | 1.07 | 1.21 | 4.00 | 2.08 | 1.64 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 19.00 | 11.00 | 1.08 | - | - | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 18.10 | 11.00 | 1.09 | - | - | 2.11 | 1.68 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
NAC Breda to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda are 30.00 for JOS Watergraafsmeer at BC.Game, 11.00 for the draw at Melbet and 1.09 for NAC Breda at Melbet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 4.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.22 (1xBet) and no 1.74 (Betwinner).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
92%
Our prediction
NAC Breda to win
Double chanceNAC Breda or draw
98% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
79% chance1.22
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-3
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NAC Breda, full-time NAC Breda
73% chance1.37fair
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda prediction
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda prediction and best bet
NAC Breda are a strong favourite in the JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda prediction, rated 92% to win this KNVB Beker match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. JOS Watergraafsmeer sit at 2% and the draw at 6%.
The goal expectancy is 4.53 in total, split 0.59 to JOS Watergraafsmeer and 3.94 to NAC Breda. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 79% and both teams to score 43%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda is nAC Breda to win, a 92% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.09 at Melbet, which implies 92%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
NAC Breda or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 98% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 6%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 93%, over 2.5 at 79%, over 3.5 at 66%; under 2.5 is 21% and under 3.5 is 35%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 79%; 22Bet pay 1.22.
Both teams to score is 43%: JOS Watergraafsmeer find the net in 45% of simulated matches and NAC Breda in 98%. JOS Watergraafsmeer keep a clean sheet 2% of the time and NAC Breda 55%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-3 at 11%, followed by 0-4 (10.8%) and 0-5 (8.5%).
With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time NAC Breda, full-time NAC Breda is the top combination at 73%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 87%.
Every market for JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda
The grid built from 0.59 and 3.94 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
JOS Watergraafsmeer to win2%30.00
Draw6%11.00
NAC Breda to win92%1.09
JOS Watergraafsmeer, draw no bet2%fair 43.48
NAC Breda, draw no bet98%fair 1.02
Double chance
JOS Watergraafsmeer or draw8%7.30
NAC Breda or draw98%-
JOS Watergraafsmeer or NAC Breda (no draw)94%1.03
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals79%1.22
Over 3.5 goals66%fair 1.53
Over 4.5 goals47%fair 2.15
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 14.93
Under 2.5 goals21%4.00
Under 3.5 goals35%fair 2.90
BTTS
Both teams to score43%2.22
Not both teams to score57%1.74
Halves
First-half goal87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 first-half goals60%fair 1.66
Second-half goal92%fair 1.09
Team goals
JOS Watergraafsmeer to score45%fair 2.24
NAC Breda to score98%fair 1.02
JOS Watergraafsmeer clean sheet2%fair 52.63
NAC Breda clean sheet55%fair 1.81
JOS Watergraafsmeer to win to nil2%fair 55.56
NAC Breda to win to nil51%fair 1.96
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-311%
0-410.8%
0-58.5%
0-28.4%
1-36.5%
1-46.4%
Half-time / full-time
NAC Breda / NAC Breda73%
Draw / NAC Breda15.9%
Draw / Draw3%
JOS Watergraafsmeer / NAC Breda2.5%
JOS Watergraafsmeer / Draw1.2%
Questions about JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda
Who is favourite in JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?
The model gives NAC Breda the best chance at 92%, with the draw at 6%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?
0-3 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 79%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. JOS Watergraafsmeer find the net in 45% of simulated matches and NAC Breda in 98%.
When is JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda and where is the result shown?
JOS Watergraafsmeer vs NAC Breda starts at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.