Liga MX
Tigres UANLHomeWDLDL
0:2Half-time 0:1
LeonAwayWDLWD462727
Tigres UANL winDrawLeon win
Tigres UANLHomeWDLDLLeonAwayWDLWD- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.77 1.60 : 1.17
- Favourite
- 46% Tigres UANL
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Tigres UANL vs Leon betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.38 | 3.60 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tigres UANL to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction: Tigres UANL 1.98 (1xBet), draw 3.38 (1xBet), Leon 3.60 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.09 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Tigres UANL or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tigres UANL, full-time Tigres UANL
29% chance3.47fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.40fair
Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction
Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction and best bet
Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction for the Liga MX on Wednesday, 21 October 2026: the model makes Tigres UANL marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 27% and Leon at 27%.
Tigres UANL are expected to score 1.60 and Leon 1.17, so the total line is 2.77 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 57%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Tigres UANL or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 1xBet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Tigres UANL vs Leon.
Over the last 5 matches Tigres UANL stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Leon show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Tigres UANL vs Leon
Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 52%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.81 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 57%. Tigres UANL score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Leon; Leon score in 69% while Tigres UANL shut them out 31% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.7%, then 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9.4%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Tigres UANL, full-time Tigres UANL is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market rated for Tigres UANL vs Leon
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 46% / 27% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Tigres UANL to win46%1.98
Draw27%3.38
Leon to win27%3.60
Tigres UANL, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Leon, draw no bet36%fair 2.75
Double chance
Tigres UANL or draw74%1.25
Leon or draw54%1.74
Tigres UANL or Leon (no draw)73%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.81
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%1.92
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.66
Not both teams to score43%2.09
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Tigres UANL to score80%fair 1.25
Leon to score69%fair 1.45
Tigres UANL clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Leon clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Tigres UANL to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Leon to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.7%
1-010%
2-19.4%
2-08%
0-17.3%
1-26.9%
Half-time / full-time
Tigres UANL / Tigres UANL28.8%
Leon / Leon15.9%
Draw / Tigres UANL15.8%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Draw / Leon10.2%
Questions about Tigres UANL vs Leon
Tigres UANL or Leon: which side does the model back?
The model gives Tigres UANL the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Tigres UANL vs Leon correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Tigres UANL vs Leon?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Tigres UANL find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Leon in 69%.
What time does Tigres UANL vs Leon kick off?
Tigres UANL vs Leon starts at 03:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.