AtlasHomeDWLWW
Club AmericaAwayWWLDD
AtlasHomeDWLWW
Club AmericaAwayWWLDD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.34 | 3.60 | 1.99 | 1.61 | 2.21 | 1.53 | 2.35 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for Atlas vs Club America are 3.34 for Atlas at 1xBet, 3.60 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.99 for Club America at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.61 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.21 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (1xBet) and no 2.35 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Atlas host Club America on Thursday, 22 October 2026 in the Liga MX, and the model has Club America at 47%, the draw at 26% and Atlas at 27%: that is the Atlas vs Club America prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.31 for Atlas and 1.76 for Club America, a total of 3.07, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Atlas or Club America (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.25 with 1xBet the market prices it at 80%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Atlas have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 9 conceded, Club America 2 of 5 scoring 14 and conceding 10.
On the goal lines Atlas vs Club America reads 81% for over 1.5, 59% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 1xBet pay 1.61.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. Atlas score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Club America; Club America score in 83% while Atlas shut them out 17% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.7%, then 1-2 at 9.4% and 0-1 at 8.2%.
With the top scoreline at 10.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atlas vs Club America; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Club America, full-time Club America is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 27% / 26% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Club America the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Atlas find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Club America in 83%.
Kick-off is 01:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.