Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez prediction

Our Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez prediction and pick

Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez prediction for the Liga MX on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Cruz Azul the clear favourite at 76%, with the draw at 15% and FC Juarez at 9%.

Cruz Azul are expected to score 2.59 and FC Juarez 0.78, so the total line is 3.37 goals; over 2.5 lands at 64% and BTTS at 51%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is cruz Azul to win at 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Cruz Azul or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 91% chance, priced 1.03.

The draw sits at only 15%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Cruz Azul have won 3 of their last 5 with 16 scored and 8 conceded, FC Juarez 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 9.

Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez reads 85% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 44% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; 1xBet pay 1.44.

BTTS yes stands at 51%. Cruz Azul score in 93% of simulations against a 8% clean sheet for FC Juarez; FC Juarez score in 54% while Cruz Azul shut them out 46% of the time.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.5%, then 3-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Cruz Azul, full-time Cruz Azul leads at 53%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.