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Live 35 UTC
Liga MX Apertura - 16 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
AtlasHomeDWLWW
Sat 7 Nov
CF PachucaAwayDLLWW
432631
Atlas winDrawCF Pachuca win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.03
1.66 : 1.37
Favourite
43%
Atlas
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Atlas vs CF Pachuca betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.113.453.161.672.111.552.30Bet
22Bet2.113.453.161.672.111.552.30Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Atlas to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction: Atlas 2.11 (22Bet), draw 3.45 (22Bet), CF Pachuca 3.16 (22Bet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.67 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.11 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (1xBet) and no 2.30 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Atlas or CF Pachuca (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.66 : 1.37-6.1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atlas, full-time Atlas
27% chance3.70fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.34fair

Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction

Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction and best bet

Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction for the Liga MX on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Atlas marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 26% and CF Pachuca at 31%.

Atlas are expected to score 1.66 and CF Pachuca 1.37, so the total line is 3.03 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 62%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Atlas vs CF Pachuca is atlas or CF Pachuca (no draw), a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 22Bet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Atlas vs CF Pachuca.

Over the last 5 matches Atlas stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; CF Pachuca show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Atlas vs CF Pachuca

On the goal lines Atlas vs CF Pachuca reads 81% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 36% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.67 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Atlas scoring in 81% of runs and CF Pachuca in 75%; clean sheets come at 25% for Atlas and 19% for CF Pachuca.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11%, then 2-1 at 9.1% and 1-0 at 8%.

With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atlas vs CF Pachuca; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atlas, full-time Atlas leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Atlas vs CF Pachuca

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Atlas vs CF Pachuca, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Atlas to win43%2.11
Draw26%3.45
CF Pachuca to win31%3.16
Atlas, draw no bet59%fair 1.71
CF Pachuca, draw no bet41%fair 2.42

Double chance

Atlas or draw69%1.31
CF Pachuca or draw57%1.65
Atlas or CF Pachuca (no draw)74%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.67
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 2.5 goals42%2.11
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.55
Not both teams to score38%2.30

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.53
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Atlas to score81%fair 1.23
CF Pachuca to score75%fair 1.34
Atlas clean sheet25%fair 3.94
CF Pachuca clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Atlas to win to nil23%fair 4.27
CF Pachuca to win to nil18%fair 5.71

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111%
2-19.1%
1-08%
1-27.5%
2-06.7%
0-16.6%

Half-time / full-time

Atlas / Atlas27%
CF Pachuca / CF Pachuca18.5%
Draw / Atlas14.5%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Draw / CF Pachuca11%

Questions about Atlas vs CF Pachuca

Who is favourite in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

The model gives Atlas the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Atlas find the net in 81% of simulated matches and CF Pachuca in 75%.

What time does Atlas vs CF Pachuca kick off?

Atlas vs CF Pachuca starts at 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Atlas v CF PachucaAtlas or CF Pachuca (no draw), 74%
1.27Bet