Liga MX
Tigres UANLHomeWDLDL
Sat 7 Nov
Cruz AzulAwayDDWWW322642
Tigres UANL winDrawCruz Azul win
Tigres UANLHomeWDLDLCruz AzulAwayDDWWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.02 1.39 : 1.63
- Favourite
- 43% Cruz Azul
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.82 | 3.52 | 2.27 | 1.64 | 2.16 | 1.53 | 2.35 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.32 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.54 | 2.26 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.82 | 3.52 | 2.27 | 1.64 | 2.16 | 1.53 | 2.35 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.82 | 3.52 | 2.27 | 1.64 | 2.16 | 1.53 | 2.35 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.90 | 3.55 | 2.26 | 1.61 | 2.19 | 1.53 | 2.30 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cruz Azul to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul are 2.90 for Tigres UANL at Stake, 3.55 for the draw at Stake and 2.32 for Cruz Azul at BC.Game.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.67 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.19 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.54 (BC.Game) and no 2.35 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Tigres UANL or Cruz Azul (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cruz Azul, full-time Cruz Azul
26% chance3.82fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction, who wins and at what price
The Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul prediction leans to Cruz Azul: 43% against 32% for Tigres UANL, with 26% left for the draw, in the Liga MX on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.02 in total, split 1.39 to Tigres UANL and 1.63 to Cruz Azul. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is tigres UANL or Cruz Azul (no draw) at 75%. At 1.27 with Stake the market prices it at 79%, against 75% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul.
Form check: Tigres UANL have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 9 conceded, Cruz Azul 3 of 5 scoring 16 and conceding 8.
How many goals in Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; BC.Game pay 1.67.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. Tigres UANL score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Cruz Azul; Cruz Azul score in 80% while Tigres UANL shut them out 20% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: 1-1 (11.1%), 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (8%).
With the top scoreline at 11.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cruz Azul, full-time Cruz Azul is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
All markets, Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 26% / 43% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Tigres UANL to win32%2.90
Draw26%3.55
Cruz Azul to win43%2.32
Tigres UANL, draw no bet43%fair 2.33
Cruz Azul, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Double chance
Tigres UANL or draw58%1.60
Cruz Azul or draw68%1.40
Tigres UANL or Cruz Azul (no draw)75%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.67
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.10
Under 2.5 goals42%2.19
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.54
Not both teams to score39%2.35
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.54
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Tigres UANL to score75%fair 1.33
Cruz Azul to score80%fair 1.24
Tigres UANL clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Cruz Azul clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Tigres UANL to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Cruz Azul to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
1-29%
0-18%
2-17.7%
1-06.8%
0-26.5%
Half-time / full-time
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul26.2%
Tigres UANL / Tigres UANL19.1%
Draw / Cruz Azul14.2%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Tigres UANL11.3%
Questions about Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
The model gives Cruz Azul the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Tigres UANL find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Cruz Azul in 80%.
What time does Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul kick off?
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul starts at 23:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.