Malta Premier League
Sliema WanderersHomeDLWWD
2:1Half-time 2:1
MarsaxlokkAwayLWWLL382933
Sliema Wanderers winDrawMarsaxlokk win
Sliema WanderersHomeDLWWDMarsaxlokkAwayLWWLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.58 1.34 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 38% Sliema Wanderers
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.34 | 3.08 | 2.80 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.95 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sliema Wanderers to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk are 2.34 for Sliema Wanderers at 1xBet, 3.08 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.80 for Marsaxlokk at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.95 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.73 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 1.95 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
Sliema Wanderers or Marsaxlokk (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.73
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sliema Wanderers, full-time Sliema Wanderers
23% chance4.35fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk prediction
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk prediction and best bet
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk prediction for the Malta Premier League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Sliema Wanderers 38%, draw 29%, Marsaxlokk 34%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Sliema Wanderers are expected to score 1.34 and Marsaxlokk 1.24, so the total line is 2.58 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is sliema Wanderers or Marsaxlokk (no draw) at 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Sliema Wanderers have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 7 conceded, Marsaxlokk 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 9.
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.73.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Sliema Wanderers scoring in 74% of runs and Marsaxlokk in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for Sliema Wanderers and 26% for Marsaxlokk.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 1-0 (10.2%) and 0-1 (9.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Sliema Wanderers, full-time Sliema Wanderers is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
Every market rated for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Sliema Wanderers to win38%2.34
Draw29%3.08
Marsaxlokk to win34%2.80
Sliema Wanderers, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
Marsaxlokk, draw no bet47%fair 2.13
Double chance
Sliema Wanderers or draw67%1.33
Marsaxlokk or draw62%1.47
Sliema Wanderers or Marsaxlokk (no draw)71%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%1.95
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.33
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 2.5 goals53%1.73
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.73
Not both teams to score46%1.95
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.10
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Sliema Wanderers to score74%fair 1.36
Marsaxlokk to score71%fair 1.41
Sliema Wanderers clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Marsaxlokk clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Sliema Wanderers to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Marsaxlokk to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-010.2%
0-19.4%
2-18.4%
1-27.8%
0-07.6%
Half-time / full-time
Sliema Wanderers / Sliema Wanderers23%
Marsaxlokk / Marsaxlokk19.9%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Draw / Sliema Wanderers14%
Draw / Marsaxlokk12.6%
Questions about Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk
Sliema Wanderers or Marsaxlokk: which side does the model back?
The model gives Sliema Wanderers the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Sliema Wanderers find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Marsaxlokk in 71%.
When do Sliema Wanderers play Marsaxlokk?
Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk starts at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.