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Live 12 UTC
Lebanon Premier League Round 4 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Jwaaya FCHomeWWWWD
2:0Half-time 1:0
Shabab Al SahelAwayLLLD
612316
Jwaaya FC winDrawShabab Al Sahel win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.68
1.83 : 0.85
Favourite
61%
Jwaaya FC
Over 2.5 goals
50%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

61%

Our prediction

Jwaaya FC to win
StrongExpected goals 1.83 : 0.85
1.65fair
Double chanceJwaaya FC or draw
83% chance1.20fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.99fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.93fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Jwaaya FC, full-time Jwaaya FC
39% chance2.60fair

Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel prediction

Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel prediction and best bet

Jwaaya FC are the clear favourite in the Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel prediction, rated 61% to win this Lebanon Premier League match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Shabab Al Sahel sit at 17% and the draw at 23%.

Expected goals are 1.83 for Jwaaya FC and 0.85 for Shabab Al Sahel, a total of 2.68, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel is jwaaya FC to win, a 61% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

For a safer line, jwaaya FC or draw covers 83% of outcomes.

Form check: Jwaaya FC have won 4 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 1 conceded, Shabab Al Sahel 0 of 4 scoring 0 and conceding 6.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel

Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%.

Both teams to score is 48%: Jwaaya FC find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Shabab Al Sahel in 57%. Jwaaya FC keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and Shabab Al Sahel 16%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.5%, followed by 2-0 (11.5%) and 1-1 (10.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Jwaaya FC, full-time Jwaaya FC is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.

Every market rated for Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel

The grid built from 1.83 and 0.85 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Jwaaya FC to win61%fair 1.65
Draw23%fair 4.44
Shabab Al Sahel to win17%fair 5.88
Jwaaya FC, draw no bet78%fair 1.28
Shabab Al Sahel, draw no bet22%fair 4.57

Double chance

Jwaaya FC or draw83%fair 1.20
Shabab Al Sahel or draw40%fair 2.53
Jwaaya FC or Shabab Al Sahel (no draw)78%fair 1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%fair 1.99
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.46
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 2.5 goals50%fair 2.01
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39

BTTS

Both teams to score48%fair 2.07
Not both teams to score52%fair 1.93

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.94
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Jwaaya FC to score84%fair 1.19
Shabab Al Sahel to score57%fair 1.75
Jwaaya FC clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Shabab Al Sahel clean sheet16%fair 6.25
Jwaaya FC to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Shabab Al Sahel to win to nil15%fair 6.76

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012.5%
2-011.5%
1-110.7%
2-19.8%
3-07%
0-06.9%

Half-time / full-time

Jwaaya FC / Jwaaya FC38.5%
Draw / Jwaaya FC19.3%
Draw / Draw14.1%
Shabab Al Sahel / Shabab Al Sahel9.2%
Draw / Shabab Al Sahel6.8%

Questions about Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel

Who will win Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel?

The model gives Jwaaya FC the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Jwaaya FC vs Shabab Al Sahel?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Jwaaya FC find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Shabab Al Sahel in 57%.

When do Jwaaya FC play Shabab Al Sahel?

Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Jwaaya FC v Shabab Al SahelJwaaya FC to win, 61%
1.65fair