Lebanon Premier League
Tripoli SCHomeDWWLL
1:2Half-time 0:1
Tadamon SourAwayWDWWL432928
Tripoli SC winDrawTadamon Sour win
Tripoli SCHomeDWWLLTadamon SourAwayWDWWL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.54 1.42 : 1.12
- Favourite
- 43% Tripoli SC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.15 | 3.24 | 1.87 | 1.80 | 1.69 | 2.00 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tripoli SC to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour are 2.07 for Tripoli SC at 1xBet, 3.15 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.24 for Tadamon Sour at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.87 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (1xBet) and no 2.00 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Tripoli SC or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tripoli SC, full-time Tripoli SC
26% chance3.83fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour prediction
Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour prediction and best bet
Tripoli SC are marginally ahead in the Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour prediction, rated 43% to win this Lebanon Premier League match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Tadamon Sour sit at 28% and the draw at 29%.
The goal expectancy is 2.54 in total, split 1.42 to Tripoli SC and 1.12 to Tadamon Sour. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Tripoli SC or draw is the main selection, rated 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 1xBet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Tripoli SC average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Tadamon Sour 2.0 and 1.4 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.80 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 54%: Tripoli SC find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Tadamon Sour in 67%. Tripoli SC keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Tadamon Sour 24%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.5%, then 1-0 at 11.2% and 2-1 at 8.9%.
With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tripoli SC, full-time Tripoli SC leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 29% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Tripoli SC to win43%2.07
Draw29%3.15
Tadamon Sour to win28%3.24
Tripoli SC, draw no bet60%fair 1.66
Tadamon Sour, draw no bet40%fair 2.52
Double chance
Tripoli SC or draw72%1.25
Tadamon Sour or draw57%1.60
Tripoli SC or Tadamon Sour (no draw)71%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%1.87
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.98
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 2.5 goals54%1.80
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.69
Not both teams to score46%2.00
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.15
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Tripoli SC to score76%fair 1.32
Tadamon Sour to score67%fair 1.48
Tripoli SC clean sheet33%fair 3.07
Tadamon Sour clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Tripoli SC to win to nil30%fair 3.33
Tadamon Sour to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-011.2%
2-18.9%
0-18.8%
2-08%
0-07.9%
Half-time / full-time
Tripoli SC / Tripoli SC26.1%
Tadamon Sour / Tadamon Sour16.9%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / Tripoli SC15.4%
Draw / Tadamon Sour11.2%
Questions about Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour
Tripoli SC or Tadamon Sour: which side does the model back?
The model gives Tripoli SC the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Tripoli SC find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Tadamon Sour in 67%.
What time does Tripoli SC vs Tadamon Sour kick off?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.