Lebanon Premier League
Al AhedHomeDWDWD
1:0Half-time 0:0
Reyady AbaseyaAwayLLLD632116
Al Ahed winDrawReyady Abaseya win
Al AhedHomeDWDWDReyady AbaseyaAwayLLLD- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.01 2.07 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 63% Al Ahed
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.46 | 3.86 | 6.05 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.70 | 1.99 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Ahed to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya are 1.46 for Al Ahed at 1xBet, 3.86 for the draw at 1xBet and 6.05 for Reyady Abaseya at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.62 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.11 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (1xBet) and no 1.99 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
63%
Our prediction
Al Ahed to win
Double chanceAl Ahed or draw
85% chance1.06
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.62
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Ahed, full-time Al Ahed
41% chance2.42fair
Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya prediction
Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya prediction, who wins and at what price
Al Ahed host Reyady Abaseya on Friday, 23 October 2026 in the Lebanon Premier League, and the model has Al Ahed at 63%, the draw at 21% and Reyady Abaseya at 16%: that is the Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.01 in total, split 2.07 to Al Ahed and 0.94 to Reyady Abaseya. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 54%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is al Ahed to win at 63%. At 1.46 with 1xBet the market prices it at 68%, against 63% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Al Ahed or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.06.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Al Ahed stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Reyady Abaseya show 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 4.
How many goals in Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.62.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Al Ahed scoring in 87% of runs and Reyady Abaseya in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for Al Ahed and 13% for Reyady Abaseya.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.6%, then 1-0 at 10.2% and 2-1 at 9.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Ahed, full-time Al Ahed is the top combination at 41%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
All markets, Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 63% / 21% / 16% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Al Ahed to win63%1.46
Draw21%3.86
Reyady Abaseya to win16%6.05
Al Ahed, draw no bet80%fair 1.25
Reyady Abaseya, draw no bet20%fair 5.08
Double chance
Al Ahed or draw85%1.06
Reyady Abaseya or draw37%2.36
Al Ahed or Reyady Abaseya (no draw)79%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals58%1.62
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals43%2.11
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.70
Not both teams to score46%1.99
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Al Ahed to score87%fair 1.14
Reyady Abaseya to score61%fair 1.64
Al Ahed clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Reyady Abaseya clean sheet13%fair 7.94
Al Ahed to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Reyady Abaseya to win to nil12%fair 8.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.6%
1-010.2%
2-19.9%
1-19.6%
3-07.3%
3-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
Al Ahed / Al Ahed41.4%
Draw / Al Ahed18.9%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Reyady Abaseya / Reyady Abaseya8.9%
Draw / Reyady Abaseya6.2%
Questions about Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya
Who is favourite in Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya?
The model gives Al Ahed the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Al Ahed find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Reyady Abaseya in 61%.
When is Al Ahed vs Reyady Abaseya and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.