Lebanon Premier League
Al Akhaa Al AhliHomeLLLLD
1:2Half-time 1:0
SafaAwayWWWW252451
Al Akhaa Al Ahli winDrawSafa win
Al Akhaa Al AhliHomeLLLLDSafaAwayWWWW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.88 1.13 : 1.75
- Favourite
- 52% Safa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
52%
Our prediction
Safa to win
1.94fair
Double chanceAl Akhaa Al Ahli or Safa (no draw)
76% chance1.31fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.82fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.79fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Safa, full-time Safa
32% chance3.10fair
Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa prediction
Our Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa prediction and pick
The Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa prediction leans to Safa: 52% against 25% for Al Akhaa Al Ahli, with 24% left for the draw, in the Lebanon Premier League on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.13 for Al Akhaa Al Ahli and 1.75 for Safa, a total of 2.88, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Safa to win is the main selection, rated 52%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, al Akhaa Al Ahli or Safa (no draw) covers 76% of outcomes.
Form check: Al Akhaa Al Ahli have won 0 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 11 conceded, Safa 4 of 4 scoring 9 and conceding 2.
How many goals in Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Al Akhaa Al Ahli score in 68% of simulations against a 32% clean sheet for Safa; Safa score in 83% while Al Akhaa Al Ahli shut them out 17% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa: 1-1 (11.1%), 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Safa, full-time Safa leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa
The grid built from 1.13 and 1.75 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al Akhaa Al Ahli to win25%fair 4.03
Draw24%fair 4.24
Safa to win52%fair 1.94
Al Akhaa Al Ahli, draw no bet33%fair 3.08
Safa, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Double chance
Al Akhaa Al Ahli or draw48%fair 2.07
Safa or draw75%fair 1.33
Al Akhaa Al Ahli or Safa (no draw)76%fair 1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%fair 1.82
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48
BTTS
Both teams to score56%fair 1.79
Not both teams to score44%fair 2.27
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Al Akhaa Al Ahli to score68%fair 1.48
Safa to score83%fair 1.21
Al Akhaa Al Ahli clean sheet17%fair 5.75
Safa clean sheet32%fair 3.10
Al Akhaa Al Ahli to win to nil16%fair 6.25
Safa to win to nil30%fair 3.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
0-19.8%
1-29.7%
0-28.6%
1-06.3%
2-16.3%
Half-time / full-time
Safa / Safa32.3%
Draw / Safa16.7%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli / Al Akhaa Al Ahli13.8%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Draw / Al Akhaa Al Ahli9%
Questions about Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa
Who will win Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa?
The model gives Safa the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Al Akhaa Al Ahli find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Safa in 83%.
What time does Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa kick off?
Al Akhaa Al Ahli vs Safa starts at 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.