Lebanon Premier League
Shabab Al SahelHomeLLLD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Al AhedAwayDWDWD202555
Shabab Al Sahel winDrawAl Ahed win
Shabab Al SahelHomeLLLDAl AhedAwayDWDWD- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.61 0.93 : 1.68
- Favourite
- 55% Al Ahed
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.38 | 3.65 | 1.54 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.86 | 1.81 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.47 | 3.61 | 1.72 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.73 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.90 | 3.60 | 1.62 | 1.88 | 1.84 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 5.24 | 3.50 | 1.58 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.82 | Bet |
 Melbet | 5.24 | 3.50 | 1.58 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Ahed to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed are 5.38 for Shabab Al Sahel at 1xBet, 3.65 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.72 for Al Ahed at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.91 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.84 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.00 (22Bet) and no 1.82 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
55%
Our prediction
Al Ahed to win
Double chanceAl Ahed or draw
80% chance1.16
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.84
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Ahed, full-time Al Ahed
34% chance2.92fair
Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed prediction
Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed prediction, who wins and at what price
Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed prediction for the Lebanon Premier League on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Al Ahed a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 25% and Shabab Al Sahel at 20%.
The goal expectancy is 2.61 in total, split 0.93 to Shabab Al Sahel and 1.68 to Al Ahed. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Al Ahed to win is the main selection, rated 55%. The best price in our comparison is 1.72 at 22Bet, which implies 58%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed.
Al Ahed or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.16.
Over the last 4 matches Shabab Al Sahel stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Al Ahed show 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 48%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; BC.Game pay 1.84.
The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Shabab Al Sahel scoring in 61% of runs and Al Ahed in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for Shabab Al Sahel and 40% for Al Ahed.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed: 0-1 (12.4%), 1-1 (11.5%) and 0-2 (10.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Ahed, full-time Al Ahed leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
The grid built from 0.93 and 1.68 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Shabab Al Sahel to win20%5.38
Draw25%3.65
Al Ahed to win55%1.72
Shabab Al Sahel, draw no bet27%fair 3.75
Al Ahed, draw no bet73%fair 1.36
Double chance
Shabab Al Sahel or draw45%2.17
Al Ahed or draw80%1.16
Shabab Al Sahel or Al Ahed (no draw)75%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.91
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 2.5 goals52%1.84
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score50%2.00
Not both teams to score50%1.82
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.05
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Shabab Al Sahel to score61%fair 1.65
Al Ahed to score81%fair 1.23
Shabab Al Sahel clean sheet19%fair 5.38
Al Ahed clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Shabab Al Sahel to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Al Ahed to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-112.4%
1-111.5%
0-210.4%
1-29.7%
0-07.4%
1-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Al Ahed / Al Ahed34.2%
Draw / Al Ahed18.2%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Shabab Al Sahel / Shabab Al Sahel11.4%
Draw / Shabab Al Sahel8.1%
Questions about Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
Shabab Al Sahel or Al Ahed: which side does the model back?
The model gives Al Ahed the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Shabab Al Sahel find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Al Ahed in 81%.
When do Shabab Al Sahel play Al Ahed?
Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed starts at 12:15 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.