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Live 12 UTC
Lebanon Premier League Round 5 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
Jwaaya FCHomeWWWWD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Al NejmehAwayDWLWD
292942
Jwaaya FC winDrawAl Nejmeh win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.41
1.07 : 1.34
Favourite
42%
Al Nejmeh
Over 2.5 goals
43%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet3.093.292.212.171.622.001.73Bet
BC.Game3.053.152.202.141.65--Bet
Betwinner3.093.292.212.171.622.001.73Bet
Melbet3.093.292.212.171.622.001.73Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al Nejmeh to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh are 3.09 for Jwaaya FC at 22Bet, 3.29 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.21 for Al Nejmeh at 22Bet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.17 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.65 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.00 (22Bet) and no 1.73 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

Jwaaya FC or Al Nejmeh (no draw)
LeanLostExpected goals 1.07 : 1.34-7.8% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.65
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance1.73Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.44fairLost
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Nejmeh, full-time Al Nejmeh
25% chance3.95fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.51fairLost

Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh prediction

Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh prediction, who wins and at what price

Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh prediction for the Lebanon Premier League on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Al Nejmeh marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 29% and Jwaaya FC at 29%.

Expected goals are 1.07 for Jwaaya FC and 1.34 for Al Nejmeh, a total of 2.41, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Jwaaya FC or Al Nejmeh (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 6 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh.

Jwaaya FC average 2.0 goals scored and 0.2 conceded across their last 5, Al Nejmeh 1.6 and 1.2 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh

On the goal lines Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh reads 69% for over 1.5, 43% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 57%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; BC.Game pay 1.65.

The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Jwaaya FC scoring in 66% of runs and Al Nejmeh in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Jwaaya FC and 34% for Al Nejmeh.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%, followed by 0-1 (12%) and 1-0 (9.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Nejmeh, full-time Al Nejmeh is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.

All markets, Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Jwaaya FC to win29%3.09
Draw29%3.29
Al Nejmeh to win42%2.21
Jwaaya FC, draw no bet41%fair 2.45
Al Nejmeh, draw no bet59%fair 1.69

Double chance

Jwaaya FC or draw58%1.59
Al Nejmeh or draw71%1.32
Jwaaya FC or Al Nejmeh (no draw)72%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.17
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.31
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Under 2.5 goals57%1.65
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29

BTTS

Both teams to score50%2.00
Not both teams to score50%1.73

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.39
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36

Team goals

Jwaaya FC to score66%fair 1.52
Al Nejmeh to score74%fair 1.36
Jwaaya FC clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Al Nejmeh clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Jwaaya FC to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Al Nejmeh to win to nil32%fair 3.16

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
0-112%
1-09.6%
0-09%
1-28.6%
0-28.1%

Half-time / full-time

Al Nejmeh / Al Nejmeh25.3%
Draw / Draw17.5%
Jwaaya FC / Jwaaya FC16.8%
Draw / Al Nejmeh15.5%
Draw / Jwaaya FC11.4%

Questions about Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh

Who is favourite in Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh?

The model gives Al Nejmeh the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Jwaaya FC find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Al Nejmeh in 74%.

When do Jwaaya FC play Al Nejmeh?

Jwaaya FC vs Al Nejmeh starts at 14:45 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Jwaaya FC v Al NejmehJwaaya FC or Al Nejmeh (no draw), 72%
1.29Bet