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Live 16 UTC
J2 League Round 16 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Sagan TosuHomeWLWLL
Sat 7 Nov
Kataller ToyamaAwayDDWLW
302743
Sagan Tosu winDrawKataller Toyama win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.48
1.10 : 1.38
Favourite
43%
Kataller Toyama
Over 2.5 goals
45%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

73%

Our prediction

Sagan Tosu or Kataller Toyama (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.10 : 1.38
1.37fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.82fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance2.00fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kataller Toyama, full-time Kataller Toyama
26% chance3.89fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama prediction

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama prediction, who wins and at what price

Kataller Toyama are marginally ahead in the Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama prediction, rated 43% to win this J2 League match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Sagan Tosu sit at 30% and the draw at 27%.

Sagan Tosu are expected to score 1.10 and Kataller Toyama 1.38, so the total line is 2.48 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Sagan Tosu or Kataller Toyama (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Form check: Sagan Tosu have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 7 conceded, Kataller Toyama 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 5.

A low-scoring Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%.

Both teams to score is 50%: Sagan Tosu find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Kataller Toyama in 75%. Sagan Tosu keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Kataller Toyama 33%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama: 1-1 (12.7%), 0-1 (11.6%) and 1-0 (9.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Kataller Toyama, full-time Kataller Toyama leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama

The grid built from 1.10 and 1.38 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sagan Tosu to win30%fair 3.33
Draw27%fair 3.73
Kataller Toyama to win43%fair 2.31
Sagan Tosu, draw no bet41%fair 2.44
Kataller Toyama, draw no bet59%fair 1.69

Double chance

Sagan Tosu or draw57%fair 1.76
Kataller Toyama or draw70%fair 1.43
Sagan Tosu or Kataller Toyama (no draw)73%fair 1.37

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 2.5 goals55%fair 1.82
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.00

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.26
Second-half goal74%fair 1.34

Team goals

Sagan Tosu to score67%fair 1.50
Kataller Toyama to score75%fair 1.34
Sagan Tosu clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Kataller Toyama clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Sagan Tosu to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Kataller Toyama to win to nil31%fair 3.27

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-111.6%
1-09.2%
1-28.8%
0-08.4%
0-28%

Half-time / full-time

Kataller Toyama / Kataller Toyama25.7%
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu16.9%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Draw / Kataller Toyama15.4%
Draw / Sagan Tosu11.3%

Questions about Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama

Sagan Tosu or Kataller Toyama: which side does the model back?

The model gives Kataller Toyama the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Sagan Tosu find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Kataller Toyama in 75%.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sagan Tosu v Kataller ToyamaSagan Tosu or Kataller Toyama (no draw), 73%
1.37fair