J2 League
IwakiHomeWWDDW
Sat 7 Nov
Montedio YamagataAwayLDLLW502624
Iwaki winDrawMontedio Yamagata win
IwakiHomeWWDDWMontedio YamagataAwayLDLLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.50 : 0.97
- Favourite
- 50% Iwaki
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
76%
Our prediction
Iwaki or draw
1.32fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.93fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Iwaki, full-time Iwaki
30% chance3.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata prediction
Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata prediction and best bet
Iwaki host Montedio Yamagata on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the J2 League, and the model has Iwaki at 50%, the draw at 26% and Montedio Yamagata at 24%: that is the Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.47 in total, split 1.50 to Iwaki and 0.97 to Montedio Yamagata. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 48%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata is iwaki or draw, a 76% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Iwaki average 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Montedio Yamagata 0.4 and 1.2 across 5.
A low-scoring Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%.
Both teams to score is 48%: Iwaki find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Montedio Yamagata in 62%. Iwaki keep a clean sheet 38% of the time and Montedio Yamagata 22%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.7%, followed by 1-1 (12.3%) and 2-0 (9.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Iwaki, full-time Iwaki leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Iwaki to win50%fair 2.02
Draw26%fair 3.83
Montedio Yamagata to win24%fair 4.10
Iwaki, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Montedio Yamagata, draw no bet33%fair 3.03
Double chance
Iwaki or draw76%fair 1.32
Montedio Yamagata or draw51%fair 1.98
Iwaki or Montedio Yamagata (no draw)74%fair 1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%fair 2.24
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score48%fair 2.08
Not both teams to score52%fair 1.93
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Iwaki to score78%fair 1.29
Montedio Yamagata to score62%fair 1.61
Iwaki clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Montedio Yamagata clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Iwaki to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Montedio Yamagata to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.7%
1-112.3%
2-09.5%
2-19.2%
0-08.5%
0-18.2%
Half-time / full-time
Iwaki / Iwaki30%
Draw / Iwaki17.2%
Draw / Draw16.6%
Montedio Yamagata / Montedio Yamagata13.5%
Draw / Montedio Yamagata9.5%
Questions about Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata
Who is favourite in Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?
The model gives Iwaki the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Iwaki vs Montedio Yamagata?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Iwaki find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Montedio Yamagata in 62%.
When do Iwaki play Montedio Yamagata?
Kick-off is 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.